2026 Houston Open odds, predictions: PGA picks, best bets from 10,000 simulations
A two-week stopover in Texas leads to the Masters, and the first will be the 2026 Houston Open which begins Thursday at Memorial Park Golf Course. Texas native Scottie Scheffler originally planned to compete in the 2026 Houston Open, but he withdrew on Tuesday due to the upcoming birth of his child. The latest 2026 Houston Open odds now list defending champion Min Woo Lee as the new favorite at +15,000 after opening at +2,200.
Other contenders at the Houston Open include Chris Gotterup (+1800), Jake Knapp (+2200), Sam Burns (+2200) and Brooks Koepka (+2500), who has just one top-10 finish this season in five tournaments since returning to the PGA. Before locking in picks for the 2026 Houston Open, entering a Houston Open contest, or making PGA DFS picks on sites like FanDuel or DraftKings, be sure to check out the golf predictions and projected rankings from SportsLine’s proven computer model.
SportsLine’s proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has simulated every PGA Tour event 10,000 times and reveals golf betting choices that have always been extremely profitable.
That same model also won 16 majors over the weekend, including the 2025 Masters – its fourth Masters in a row – as well as last year’s PGA Championship and Open Championship. Anyone who has followed their sports betting choices could have seen massive returns on betting sites.
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Now that the 2026 Houston Open field is locked in, the model has simulated the tournament 10,000 times and the results have been surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard, which you can use for PGA picks, one-off contests or Houston Open DFS lineups.
Houston Open 2026 Predictions
One major surprise the model is calling for at the 2026 Houston Open: Lee, the defending champion and favorite, barely makes the top 5. He’s a golfer to disappear this week. The 27-year-old Australian has had a good season, but his last outing at the Players Championship was rather difficult. He shot 70 or better in every round, including a 74 in the fourth round as he finished T32. See who else disappears here.
Another surprise: the model claims that Nicolai Hojgaard is one of the three favorites this week despite his longer odds at +2500. He had a tough weekend at the Valspar Championship last week, but finished no worse than T27 at any other event this season. This includes a T3 at the WM Phoenix Open and a T6 at the Cognizant Classic. See who else to choose here.
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How to make picks for the 2026 Houston Open
The model also targets three other golfers starting at +4000 or higher to make a strong run, including a huge +6000 longshot. You can only see the model choices here.
Who will win the 2026 Houston Open and which long shots will surprise the golf world? Check out the 2026 Houston Open odds below, then visit SportsLine to see the projected rankings, all from the model that has won 16 golf majors, including three in 2025.
2026 Houston Open Odds and Favorites
Get all the Houston Open 2026 picks, best bets and predictions here.
(odds via FanDuel and subject to change)
Min Woo Lee +1500
Chris Gotterup +1800
Jake Knapp +2200
Sam Burns +2200
Brooks Koepka +2500
Kurt Kitayama +2500
Nicolai Højgaard +2700
Marco Penge +2700
Rickie Fowler +3000
Michael Thorbjörnsen +3000
Ben Griffin +3300
Ryan Gerard +3300
Harris English +3500
Rasmus Højgaard +3500
Taylor Penndrith +4000
Adam Scott +4000
Pierceson Coody +4000
Shane Lowry +4000
Keith Mitchell +4000
Harry Room +4000
Wyndham Clark +4500
Samuel Stevens +4500
Sahith Theegala +5000
Jason Day +5000
Ryan Fox +6000
Alex Smalley +6000
Ricky Castillo +6000
Sudarshan Yellamaraju +6000
Jordan Smith +6000
Tony Finau +6000
Stéphane Jaeger +6000
Kristoffer Reitan +6500
Max Greyserman +6500
Davis Thompson +6500
Mac Meissner +7000
Sungjae I am +7000
Will Zalatoris +7000
Richard Hoey +8000
Nico Echavarria +8000
Gary Woodland +8000
Aaron Rai +8000
Patrick Rodgers +8000
Tom Kim +8000
Michael Brennan +8000
Aldrich Potgieter +8000
