2026 Pennzoil 400 odds, predictions, time, field: Las Vegas picks from proven NASCAR model

The Cup Series heads to Las Vegas Motor Speedway on Sunday for the first of two races this season, with the 2026 Pennzoil 400 taking place at 4 p.m. ET. Joey Logano and Kyle Larson have won half of the last 14 NASCAR races in Las Vegas, but Tyler Reddick has won the first three races this season. However, Ryan Blaney enters the 2026 Pennzoil 400 as the most recent Cup Series winner, thanks to his victory at Phoenix a week ago. NASCAR at Las Vegas 2026 will be contested over 267 laps on a 1.5-mile tri-oval track.

Larson is the +500 favorite, according to the latest 2026 NASCAR odds at Las Vegas, followed closely by Christopher Bell (+600), with Bell starting on pole. Reddick is +850, as is two-time Vegas winner Denny Hamlin. Bubba Wallace is a +1900 longshot to use in Pennzoil 400 betting despite three top 10s this season. Joe Gibbs Racing is the +165 favorite to be the winning team in Sunday’s race. Before making any picks for the 2026 Pennzoil 400 or NASCAR at Las Vegas predictions, you need to see the projected standings from Mike McClure’s proven model.

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McClure is a legendary professional DFS player with over $2 million in career winnings. It uses a powerful prediction model that simulates every lap of NASCAR 10,000 times. In total, the model has landed 29 winners since 2021 and reached 11 winners in 2025. Everyone who follows its NASCAR betting choose their favorite sports betting could have seen huge returns.

Now, McClure has turned his attention to the NASCAR Pennzoil 400. He’s only sharing his best bets on SportsLine.

2026 NASCAR Predictions in Las Vegas

For NASCAR at Vegas 2026, McClure fades Reddick, predicting he won’t even finish in the top 5 after triumphing in each of the first three races of the season. Reddick had three straight top-8 finishes at Vegas with Richard Childress before joining 23XI Racing. However, he was unable to maintain that momentum, placing 15th in his first NASCAR Vegas start with Michael Jordan’s team, and Reddick finished 24th or lower in two of his last three Vegas starts. Additionally, none of Reddick’s three wins in 2026 have come on intermediate tracks like what he’ll see on Sunday. He is winless in his last 10 starts at 1.5-mile intermediate tracks, with more finishes outside the 15 (four) than in the top 5 (three).

Another surprise: Chase Elliott, a +1800 longshot, is having a good run this week. The 2020 Cup Series champion is off to a strong start, sitting fourth in the 2026 NASCAR standings. He has yet to win at Las Vegas Motor Speedway, but isn’t completely out there. He has three top 5 finishes on the track during his career, as well as three stage victories. Elliott also has the support of one of the most successful teams in Las Vegas history as Hendrick Motorsports has 10 victories at the track, including five in the last five years. Find out what other drivers the model supports at SportsLine.

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How to make choices Pennzoil 400 2026

McClure is also high on a long shot of over +4000, which could net any backer a huge payday. You can only see who it is here.

So who will win the 2026 Pennzoil 400, and which huge longshot could stun NASCAR in Vegas? Visit SportsLine now to see the 2026 NASCAR Pennzoil 400 picks and best bets from a NASCAR model that had 11 winners last year, and find out.

2026 NASCAR Odds and Schedule in Las Vegas

See the full NASCAR Pennzoil 400 picks at SportsLine

(FanDuel odds, subject to change)
Kyle Larson +500
Christophe Bell +600
William Byron +750
Denis Hamlin +850
Tyler Reddick +850
Ryan Blaney +850
Joey Logano +1100
Chase Briscoe +1200
Ross Chastain +1300
Chase Elliott +1800
Bubba Wallace +1900
Chris Buescher +2200
Carson Hocevar +2500
Brad Keselowski +2700
Ty Gibbs +3000
Kyle Busch +3000
Alex Bowman +3300
Connor Zilisch +4000
Josh Berry +4000
Ryan Preece +4500
Daniel Suarez +5000
Austin Cindric +7000
Michael McDowell +8000
Erik Jones +8000
AJ Allmendinger +8000
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. +10000
Noah Gragson +12500
Shane Van Gisbergen +12500
Austin Dillon +12500
Todd Gilliland +15000
John Hunter Nemechek +17500
Riley Herbst +25000
Zane Smith +25000
Cole Custer +25000
Ty Dillon +40000
Cody Ware +50000