Paleoclimate pattern effects help constrain climate sensitivity and 21st-century warming

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Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Volume 123, Number 4, January 2026.
ImportanceThe uncertain upper limit of climate sensitivity determines the worst-case projections of global warming. Recent paleoclimate reconstructions suggest a high sensitivity of 5°C per CO2 doubling. However, by analyzing the spatial patterns of the Pliocene…

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