The long arm of Trump’s new law: From the Politics Desk

Welcome to the online version of Political officeAn evening newsletter that brings you the latest report and analysis of the NBC News Policy team from the White House, Capitol Hill and the campaign campaign.

Happy Monday! That day, a year ago, Joe Biden abandoned the presidential race.

In today’s edition, we dive into the first financial and political impacts of the “big and beautiful bill” and how the White House tries to divert the attention of Epstein files.

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– Adam Wollner

Trump’s new arm of the new law

It has been more than two weeks since President Donald Trump signed the “major bill”.

But the impacts of what is likely to be the signing legislation of the second term of Trump does not begin to be felt, both financially and politically.

Final price: The non -partisan congress budget office has today published its final score of the 887 -page sprawling bill, reports Sahil Kapur.

The CBO has provided that the law will add 3.4 billions of dollars to national debt over the next decade. He noted that the decreases in net expenditure of the law of $ 1.1 billion of dollars are exceeded by the drop in income of $ 4.5 billion, compared to if the measure was not adopted.

The law “will also increase the number of people without health insurance” by 10 million by 2034, according to the CBO.

Last survey numbers: A new survey published during the weekend has shown that the Republicans had pseuche for them by selling the law to the public.

According to a CBS News / Yougov survey, only 39% of American adults said they approved the “big and beautiful bill”. This roughly corresponds to the other polls found before the final adoption of the legislation.

The CBS News / Yougov survey also found that a majority (54%) said they thought that the law would increase its health care costs and that a plurality (40%) said it would increase their taxes – even thought that it extends the tax reductions that Trump had been signed during his first mandate.

And while 61%said they thought the package would help the rich, much less said that it would help the middle class (28%) and the poor (24%).

All this helps to explain why some Republicans try to move their messaging and throw the bill as a tax advantage for “workers’ families”, highlighting the transition from taxes on advice and overtime in particular.

In the United States: As the law is implemented in the months and years to come, its effects will be felt differently by state. Adam Edelman notes that many of the biggest political battles resulting from the tax reduction and expenses are already converging in the battlefield of Nevada.

According to state data and KFF, a research group on non -partner health policies. But unlike certain other states, which may be able to move funds in their budgets to strengthen financial support to affected residents, the hands of Nevada are largely linked. It has no state income tax and a constitutional provision of the State requires a majority of two thirds to increase income.

Then, there are the tax provisions of the new law linked to employees and tilting players, who will have an oversized effect on a state whose economy is based almost exclusively on casinos and hospitality.

In 2026, Governor Joe Lombardo – who marked a thin border between praising certain aspects of the megabill while pushing others – was considered the most vulnerable republican governor to re -election. And the battlefield of Nevada, the 3rd district, represented by the democratic representative Susie Lee, will be the site of a key race in the fight for the majority of the room.

And in 2028, Nevada will probably again host critical competitions for the White House and the Senate.

In the middle of Epstein’s benefits, the Trump administration turns to the other biggest successes in Maga

By Ryan J. Reilly and Henry J. Gomez

Facing the reaction of Maga supporters on the processing of files related to Jeffrey Epstein, President Donald Trump and his administration have published a flood of information on old grievances and popular problems with the base.

Trump used his Truth social platform overnight to attack Senator Adam Schiff, D-Calif., Posting a false video generated by artificial intelligence showing that former President Barack Obama is arrested by the FBI and shares cups generated by AI over the years.

Trump also weighed on another Maga favorite – the names of the sports teams – and threatened to try to block a agreement to build a new football stadium in Washington, DC, unless commanders change their name in Redskins. The team abandoned this name in 2019, after years of criticism that it was racist.

The intensity of Epstein’s conversation has been lingering since last week, after the Trump administration had to face many of his supporters from Maga who were furious that civil servants did not disclose more information on the files. Trump on Friday continued the Wall Street Journal and Rupert Murdoch after the newspaper published an article saying that Trump had sent a letter to Epstein in 2003 which included a drawing of a naked woman.

By today, many Maga social media accounts seemed to have passed Epstein problems, focusing on some of the other subjects that the Trump administration has pushed.

The Ministry of Justice and other agencies have published files today that have long been plots. But they were not Epstein documents; These are documents on Hillary Clinton and more than 230,000 pages linked to the assassination of the Reverend Martin Luther King Jr. The Attorney General Pam Bondi was a particular target of the ire of the Maga base.

“To say that Trump publishes random stuff to distract is like saying that the sun rises to play with your sleep schedule,” said a former Trump advisor. “That’s exactly what he does.”

Find out more of Ryan and Henry →

In relation: A Maga Bot network on X is divided on the Trump-Epstein reaction, by Kevin Collier

It’s all of the political bureau for the moment. Today’s newsletter was compiled by Adam Wollner and Dylan EBS.

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