Anisimova vs. Swiatek: Who will win the Wimbledon title?
A first Wimbledon champion will be crowned on Saturday – and little would have predicted the two finalists. Will he be a five-year major champion IGA Swiatek, who, until this season, has been notoriously weak on the grass? Or it will be the seeded n ° 13 Amanda Anisimova, an American who has soared on the ground, overwhelming the world n ° 1 Aryna Sabalenka on Thursday.
Our experts weigh on how everyone could win.
What can Anisimova do to defeat Swiatek?
Rennae Stubbs: She must start well. This is his first slam final and it is a very different feeling. It must serve well and take advantage of the first strike on Swiatek, especially during its second service. If she can take an advance, she must put the gas pedal. In addition, she must control her emotions and remain as positive as possible.
Simon Cambers: To start, Anisimova must serve well. There is no way to beat Swiatek, in this form, if it does not reach a high percentage of first services. Interestingly, the percentage of American victories on the first service plunged the match on the match, but the second service, it has increased since the third round.
More than anything, Anisimova will have to relax because during his first Wimbledon final, there is bound to be nerves. Swiatek has played very well here, resembling his old self, but there could always be a question if things tighten and his game begins to vacillate. Anisimova must stay with Swiatek mentally and physically, show her that she does not disappear, even if Swiatek embarks on a role. And she must continue to play as she played all summer on the grass. It could be her only chance to win a Wimbledon title, so she has to go.
D’Arcy maine: Anisimova certainly has self -confidence and, as Sabalenka mentioned on Thursday, bravery to win the Wimbledon title. She had to fight throughout her race and was able to find a way by being aggressive and taking risks in the most difficult times. She will have to bring it all to the table on Saturday – then some.
But as Simon mentioned, for Anisimova, this could be summed up in his first major final. On Thursday, she said that she was going to try not to think about what was at stake in the match, but it’s easier to say than to do. She will have to find ways to remain as composed and concentrated as possible, while understanding from the start that there will be times, probably many of them, when the issues come into play. How will she manage them?
If she can come as prepared as possible, both strategically and mentally, she will have her best chance of finishing her miraculous fortnight with the trophy.
Bill Connelly: A good portion will indeed be vital for Anisimova – Swiatek has just erased the second services. She won at least 58% of the return points to the second service in five of the six matches, and she is amazing 71% in her last two games. Admittedly, Anisimova won 60% of her second points to serve against Sabalenka – she is powerful enough for a second service to be only a kind of second service – but Swiatek sees the services well, and Anisimova would be well served to get his first services.
But beyond that, the best thing that Inisimova can do is to pin swiatek in hell. Anisimova has the best setback of female tennis. It is an absolute canon, and it is the source of great success in longer rallies. It is a bit of a contradiction, playing some of the shortest points of the game on average, but very well on longer points, and the more the reverse gatherings against the reverse will eventually promote the American.
What can Swiatek do to defeat Anisimova?
Stubbs: Serving a high percentage of first services, because Anisimova will attack its second service and will set up. She does not need to always try to strike with Anisimova, but rather uses her edge sometimes, and to advance Anisimova and in uncomfortable places on the ground. Swiatek must keep her cool and not get on herself if things are not doing well.
Maine: Swiatek certainly has the advantage in terms of experience, and that will help you. Of course, she has never played in a Wimbledon final, but she played in five other slam finals – and won them all – so she knows what to expect to direct and all the emotions that accompany her.
Due to her previous results at the All England Club, Swiatek did not have the pressure or the attention she had elsewhere, in particular to Roland Garros, and that probably helped her throughout. Now being the favorite, it will have to settle all expectations and simply focus on what has brought it to this point.
And it is, of course, his extraordinary game. After their match in the semi-finals on Thursday, Belinda Bencic said that she “should have played my best tennis of my life and risk each blow to beat her today as she played” and greeted the speed, the SWATEK service and the ability to completely dictate the match. If Swiatek can bring the same level and intensity and continue to trust its new instincts on the grass, the title seems well within reach.
Cambers: Continue to play as she played. Thanks to her (relative) difficulties on clay this year, the service was the place where she was the most vulnerable, sometimes decomposing, which then flooded the rest of her game.
In Wimbledon, she brilliantly served, losing only six service games in six games. It won more than 70% of the points in the first service in each match, exceeding 80% three times. If it serves this way, it is difficult to see Anisimova harm it, but the second service could get treatment, so it needs a high percentage.
No one moves better than Swiatek and it seems that she has found the talent of moving well on the grass, which issues problems for Anisimova, which has a great power but whose movement can be exposed if Swiatek takes place. Swiatek can also use its greatest experience, manage nerves better.
Connelly: Yes, no one touches the version of Swiatek that we saw on the field on Thursday. She found a fifth equipment. That said, she sometimes played with fire on her service – she had to save 13 of the 15 breaking points against Caty McALLY in the second round and eight out of 10 against Liudmila Samsonova in the quarterfinals. It is great that she spent these clutch moments, but it’s a lot of breaking points, and Anisimova has created two -digit breaking points with her return to each match of the tournament. Maybe Swiatek can continue to play with fire without burning, but it is probably not something on which you want to count with the way Anisimova has played.
Who will win?
Pam Shriver: The former junior champion of Wimbledon Swiatek has found a large shape of the land in the past three weeks. Perhaps losing Roland Garros, and not playing as many games on clay as the other recent clay seasons, gave Swiatek more bandwidth and time to find his trust in lawn. Its movement seems to be more security than the other seasons of the poisoning, and its more compact oscillations seem punishing with its opponents. Unless Swiatek is playing an anxious match, allowing Anisimova to play first strike tennis, Swiatek will be your different ninth female champion in so many Wimbledons.
Stubbs: Swiatek. Because it has a little more experience in the big finals. But I think it will be closer than expected.
Cambers: As much as it would be an excellent story if Anisimova win, the chef says that Swiatek will come out in the lead. She was there and did it, five times, and although it is also a first Wimbledon final for her, she knows how to manage the biggest occasions. The irony to play so well on the grass, when Clay did not go so well, will not be lost for her. But his coach, Wim Fissette, has an excellent record in the production of winners, and together, their experience, their quality and their class can make it pass.
Maine: I chose Swiatek at the start of the tournament – something that I obviously recalled to anyone who will listen to – and she impressed me more and more by her domination and her imperturbable behavior during the fortnight. It would be incredible for Anisimova to win, and I think she will win a major title one day, but I don’t think that happens on Saturday. Swiatek has experience, movement, speed and service – and it will be too much for Anisimova. SWATEK in three sets.
Connelly: Swiatek lost her two finals in 2025. This dropped his career record in the final at … 30-6. Another world. If she arrives at this point in a tournament, she generally wins it. (Anisimova, Pending: 3-6 in the finals.) During this fifteen Wimbledon, Swiatek is clearly more and more confident, and the hot and dry conditions have minimized a lot of affyed movements and unreliable rebounds which can cause a natural clay mail like Swiatek on the grass.
This seems to be the perfect time for her to get her first Wimbledon title. Anisimova hits the ball so incredibly although it will have a chance; In fact, I bet she takes a set. But I guess Swiatek takes the other two.
