Arkansas vs. Florida prediction, odds, spread, time: 2026 college basketball picks from proven model


The seventh-ranked Florida Gators can secure at least a share of the SEC regular-season championship when they face John Calipari’s 20th-ranked Arkansas Razorbacks in a key game Saturday night. Arkansas is coming off a 99-84 win over the Texas A&M Aggies on Wednesday, while Florida beat the Texas Longhorns 84-71 the same night. The Razorbacks (21-7, 11-4 SEC), who are 4-5 against ranked opponents, are 4-4 on the road this season. The Gators (22-6, 13-2 SEC), the defending national champions, are 12-1 on their home field.
Tip-off from Exactech Arena at the Stephen C O’Connell Center in Gainesville, Florida is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET. Florida leads the all-time series 28-15, with wins in each of the last two seasons. Florida is a 9.5-point favorite in the latest Arkansas vs. Florida odds from DraftKings Sportsbook, while the over/under in total points scored is 168.5. Before making any Florida vs. Arkansas picks, check out men’s college basketball predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
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The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every college basketball game 10,000 times and it entered Week 17 on a torrid 11-1 streak on its top-rated over/under college basketball picks dating back to last season, and is on a 20-11 run on the CBB’s top-rated side picks. Anyone who followed his college basketball betting tips on sportsbooks and betting apps could have seen solid returns.
Today, the model has simulated Arkansas vs. Florida 10,000 times and just revealed its coveted men’s college basketball picks and betting predictions. You can now head over to SportsLine to see the model’s choices. Here are several men’s college basketball odds and men’s college basketball betting lines for Florida vs. Arkansas:
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Arkansas vs. Florida Breakdown: |
Florida -9.5 at DraftKings Sportsbook |
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Arkansas vs. Florida plus/minus: |
166.5 points |
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Arkansas vs. Florida Money Line: |
Florida -524, Arkansas +388 |
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Arkansas vs. Florida Pick: |
See the picks on SportsLine |
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Streaming Arkansas vs. Florida: |
Fubo (Try for free) |
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Best Arkansas vs. Florida Predictions
The SportsLine model is below the total (168.5 points). The Under has scored in six of the last eight meetings between the teams. The Under has hit in six of Arkansas’ last 10 games and eight of Florida’s last 10 games. The Razorbacks are 6-4 ATS in their last 10 games. The Gators, meanwhile, are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games.
The model projects Arkansas to have three players scoring 12.1 points or more, including Darius Acuff Jr.’s projected 19.3 points. Florida is projected to have five players scoring 11.9 points or more, led by Thomas Haugh, who is projected to score 17.5 points. The model projects a combined 165 points while the Under disappears in well over 50% of simulations.
How to make Florida vs. Arkansas picks
The model also indicates that one side of the spread represents the best value. You can only see this pick on SportsLine.
So who does Florida win against Arkansas and which side of the spread offers the best value? Visit SportsLine now to see which way Arkansas vs. Florida went, all from the advanced model that has simulated this game 10,000 times, and find out.
