California vs. Hawaii prediction, odds, spread, time: 2025 Hawaii Bowl picks from proven model

The 2025-2026 college football bowl schedule only includes one game on Christmas Eve, and it’s in the Aloha State. The Sheraton Hawaii Bowl 2025 will see the California Golden Bears take on the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors. Cal (7-5) is coming off a 38-35 win over SMU but has lost three straight games. Hawaii (8-4) comes into play after a 27-7 win over Wyoming and is 5-4 all-time in its namesake bowl. The Golden Bears enter the 2025 Hawaii Bowl leading the all-time series between the programs, 2-1. Star Hawaii receiver Jackson Harris, who has nearly 1,000 receiving yards this year, is in the transfer portal. Nick Rolovich, who was Hawaii’s head coach from 2016-19, will serve as interim head coach for Cal in this one.

Kickoff will be at 8 p.m. ET from the Clarence TC Ching Athletic Complex in Honolulu. The Rainbow Warriors are 1.5-point favorites in the latest Cal vs. Hawaii odds from DraftKings Sportsbook. The over/under of the total points is 50.5. Before making any Hawaii vs. Cal picks, check out the college football predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

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The model simulates every FBS game 10,000 times, and it ranks 31-19 among its highest-rated college football money-line picks since the start of the 2024 season.

Now the model has set its sights on Cal vs. Hawaii. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the FBS college football odds and trends for Hawaii vs. Cal:

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How to make Hawaii vs. Cal picks

After simulating California and Hawaii 10,000 times, the SportsLine model is exceeding the total (50.5 points).

Something about the Rainbow Warriors’ appearance in this bowl game seems to light up the scoreboard for both teams. Of Hawaii’s nine previous Hawaii Bowl appearances, eight of them have scored at least 60 points total, and five of them have scored at least 70 points combined. As for Cal, its games have eclipsed the total in two of the last three, and Golden Bears starting quarterback Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele is from Hawaii and will want to put on a show when he returns.

After a performance of 330 yards and 4 touchdowns, Sagapolutele should again exceed 300 yards with several total touchdowns. His counterpart, Micah Alejado, leads the Mountain West in passing yards per game and has 3 passing scores in five of his last seven games. With the explosiveness of both passing games, the model projects a combined 53 points while the Over hits more than 50% of the time.

The model also indicates that one side of the gap hits more than 60% of the time. You can see the model choice on SportsLine.

So who wins Hawaii over California, and which side of the spread reaches more than 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Cal vs. Hawaii spread to jump to, all from the advanced model that’s among its top-ranked moneyline picks, and find out.