2026 Masters odds, best bets, weekend predictions: Picks to win from 10,000 simulations
The 2026 Masters gears up for the weekend with a star-studded leaderboard battling for the green jacket in the 90th edition of golf’s most prestigious tournament. Defending champion Rory McIlroy created separation from the field by following his first-round 67 with a second-round 65, taking a historic six-shot lead for the tournament. Patrick Reed and Sam Burns are tied for second at 6 under, with nine other golfers at 5 or 4 under waiting to make a move if McIlroy falters over the weekend.
The 2026 Masters odds heading into the weekend list McIlroy as a -280 favorite (risk $280 to win $100). That leaves a big list of Masters longshots on the board with Tommy Fleetwood and Reed at +1800, Justin Rose at +2000, Burn at +2200 and Cameron Young at +2500. Before you lock in any 2026 Masters picks ahead of the weekend, be sure to check out the 2026 Masters predictions and projected rankings from SportsLine’s proven computer model.
SportsLine’s proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has simulated every PGA Tour event 10,000 times and reveals golf betting choices that have always been extremely profitable.
That same model also won 16 majors over the weekend, including the 2025 Masters – its fourth Masters in a row – as well as last year’s PGA Championship and Open Championship. Anyone who has followed their sports betting choices could have seen huge returns on betting sites.
Now that the first two rounds of the 2026 Masters are scheduled, the model has simulated the weekend 10,000 times and the results have been surprising. Head over to SportsLine now to see the projected rankings.
Best Masters 2026 predictions
One surprise the model is calling for at the 2026 Masters: Burns, who enters Saturday tied for second, stumbles down the stretch and finishes outside the top 5. The 29-year-old American quickly found himself tied for the lead after the first round after shooting a 67 on Thursday. He calmed down with a 71 in the second round on Friday. That’s enough to keep him tied for second with Reed, but now he’s six shots behind the leader.
Instead of Burns racing on the weekend, the model predicts he will largely fall out of contention. He has a poor historical record at Augusta, missing two cuts in his four appearances and never finishing above T29. The model doesn’t like his winning odds of 2,200 and also advises dropping him among the first five bets. Find out who else is disappearing on SportsLine.
Another surprise: Scottie Scheffler, a two-time Masters champion who is T24 and tied, surges this weekend and returns to the top 5. It was a Friday to remember as Scheffler shot a 74, his second-worst round ever at Augusta National.
His track record cannot be ignored, however, as he has won two of the last four Masters and finished in the top 10 for four consecutive years. Scheffler offers some value as a +6000 long shot to come back and stun with an outright victory, but he’s also a solid play at +230 to finish in the top 5. Find out who else to back at SportsLine.
How to make your Masters 2026 choices
The model is targeting a huge triple-digit longshot that climbs the rankings this weekend and returns to contention. Anyone who supports this golfer could hit it big. You can only see the Masters picks from the model here.
So, who will win the 2026 Masters, and which long shot will surprise the golf world? Check out the 2026 Masters odds below, then visit SportsLine to see the projected 2026 Masters rankings, all from the model that has won 16 golf majors, including four straight Masters.
Masters 2026 odds, contenders
Get the full Masters 2026 picks, best bets and predictions here.
(odds via FanDuel and subject to change)
Rory McIlroy -280
Tommy Fleetwood +1800
Patrick Reed +1800
Justin Rose +2000
Sam Burns +2200
Cameron Young +2500
Shane Lowry +3300
Alex Schauffele +5500
Tyrrell Hatton +6000
Brooks Koepka +6000
Scottie Scheffler +6500
Jason Day +7000
Chris Gotterup +8000
Hideki Matsuyama +10,000
Kristoffer Reitan +10000
Wyndham Clark +10000
Matt Fitzpatrick +12500
Jake Knapp +12500
Haotong Li +15000
Ben Griffin +17500
Ludvig Aberg +17500
Collin Morikawa +22500
Russell Henley +50000
Max Homa +50000
Sungjae I am +100000
Adam Scott +100000
Michael Brennan +100000
Sepp Straka +100000
Harris English +100000
Nick Taylor +100000
Keegan Bradley +100000
Aaron Rai +100,000
Dustin Johnson +100,000
Patrick Cantlay +100000
Jacob Bridgeman +100000
Marco Penge +100000
Matt McCarty +100000
Jordan Spieth +100000
Brian Campbell +100000
Justin Thomas +100000
Jon Rahm +100000
Ryan Gerar +100000
Gary Woodland +100000
Viktor Hovland +100000
