Cornyn, Paxton Statistically Tied In Texas Primary Dogfight: POLL

The Texas Republican Senator John Cornyn and the Texas Ken Paxton Republican Prosecutor General are at the shoulder in the primary competition of the State Gop Senate, according to recent polls.

CORNYN leads Paxton from a percentage point, from 30% to 29%, with 37% of indecisive voters in an Emerson College survey published on Friday. The survey depicts an image very different from the breed that the section of the previous survey showing Paxton with a two -digit lead on the longtime holder – and Cornyn’s advance in the new survey is well in the margin of error of 4.4% of the survey. (Related: Ken Paxton won the LAP Victory Suite Woke ‘Cartel’ He quietly invests fortune)

“Seven months ahead of the Republican primary, the competition between the holder of four mandates and the Attorney General is a draw, with 37% of the voters still undecided,” said Spencer Kimball, executive director of the Polling Emerson College, in a statement announcing the survey.

The investigation is the first public survey on the primary combat Amer since the donors of Cornyn began to spend millions of people in positive advertising seeking to inform the voters of the outgoing president’s file.

The Cornyn allies have also committed to committed millions of additional resources to stimulate the candidate in the coming months. Texans for a conservative majority, a Pro-Cornyn Super-PAC, spent more than $ 3 million in advertising until the end of July, Texas Tribune reported. Chris Lacivita, who co-chaired the presidential campaign of President Donald Trump in 2024, is an adviser to the Pro-Cornyn outside group.

The Senate Leadership Fund, a Super CAP affiliated with the Republican Management of the Senate which supports Cornyn, told donors that the outgoing senator wins the controversial primary would require $ 25 to 75 million, reported Punchbowl News.

Cornyn and Paxton led the double democratic candidate Colin Allred in a face -to -face match outside the margin of error in the investigation, according to the Emerson College Survey.

Allred, who lost against the Republican Senator of Texas Ted Cruz last November, drags Cornyn 38% at 45% and is behind Paxton by a smaller five -point margin.

The Texas Democratic representative Jasmine Crockett would dominate the main domain if she entered the race, according to a national survey of the Republican Senate Committee in July reported for the first time by the Daily Caller News Foundation. Crockett led Allred 15 percentage points in the survey despite no experience in the state -scale race.

Houston, Texas-October 25: The candidate of the Democratic Senate, the American representative Colin Allred (D-TX), speaks during a campaign rally with the democratic presidential candidate, the American vice-president Kamala Harris, at Shell Energy Stadium on October 25, 2024 in Houston, Texas. (Photo by Justin Sullivan / Getty Images)

The two candidates have work to do to avoid an election of runoff, which would be triggered if no candidate guarantees 50% of the votes. Cornyn and Paxton both seek the approval of President Donald Trump, but he has not yet pointed out when he intervenes in the very consecutive breed.

With 37% of uncertain republican primary voters of their favorite candidate, the president’s approval could prove to be decisive, according to the survey.

“Among these indecisive voters, President Trump’s employment approval is 73%, suggesting that his approval could be essential in such a narrow race,” said Kimball.

The Emerson College survey in 491 probable republican primary voters was conducted on Monday and Tuesday.

The survey conducted on the race earlier in the year showed Paxton with an important advance on Cornyn. A survey in May commanded by SLF found Paxton in front of Cornyn of sixteen percentage points. Another survey, led by Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center by Texas Southern University, this month has shown that Cornyn has followed nine percentage points.

A spokesperson for Cornyn refused to comment on Emerson College Survey. A Paxton spokesperson did not respond to the DCNF comments before publication.

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