Trump 2.0 makes history—and not in a good way

The investigation says is a weekly series bringing together the most important survey trends or data points you need to know, as well as an atmosphere verification on a trend that stimulates policy.

Trump in the tank

Donald Trump is in a way that six months after his second presidency, but if that has the impression that it is torturing, you are not alone. The Americans quickly turn to him.

Falsification discovery Trump with his lowest approval note since his White House retirement in January. Only 37% of Americans approve how he managed his work as president. It is down by a summit of 47% in January, and it brings it very close to the figures with which he left the White House in January 2021, when 34% approved him.

The self -employed are mainly those who run their approval rating to the south. Only 29% approve the way he manages the presidency, compared to 36% in June.

Republicans and Democrats have not largely changed their minds about it. Eighty-nine percent of the Republicans approved it, slightly lower than its 93% summit in February. Meanwhile, 2% of Democrats agreed, which is down compared to a summit of 6% in January.

In total, Trump’s poor approval rating is historic. Literally. Among the presidents who took office after the Second World War, none had a rating of average approval below the second quarter of his second term, which, for Trump, extends from April 20 to July 19 of this year.

Dwight Eisenhower, Ronald Reagan and Bill Clinton each enjoyed the majority approval in the second quarter of their second terms. Barack Obama, George W. Bush and Richard Nixon landed in the mid -1940s. Trump, however? Only 40%.

In fact, the only president who obtained a worse note in his second quarter was … Trump, during his first mandate. In 2017, he only marked the approval of 39% on average in the second quarter of this mandate.

The reason for this sour public feeling seems to be its number falling on many key problems. Since February, he has dropped 8 percentage points on his immigration management, 6 points on foreign trade, 4 points on foreign affairs and 4 points on the situation between the Israelis and the Palestinians. Since March, he has slipped 8 points on his management of the situation in Ukraine and a shocking 14 points on his approach to the federal budget.

The most overwhelming for him, however, is his note on inflation. Data from Yougov Find Trump with his worst approval on this issue since the office report in January. Only 1 in 3 American approves its management of inflation, while 61% disapprove of, according to The last survey. This is a clear approval note of -29 points. In January, it was +6 points on the issue.

This observation is saved by a new survey From the famous law faculty of Marquette University, which finds Trump 30 points under water to manage inflation. Worse for him, inflation is the most important problem for Americans, with 1 in 3 reporting it as the first problem.

Of course, there may be another Problem that drops his approval …

Epstein scandal wins even more vapor

Trump’s biggest unrefitled error could be the refined manipulation by his administration of file files around the sex offender, sentenced Jeffrey Epstein, one of Trump’s former friends. Americans are mad with the manipulation of the administration files, but a deluge of new polls shows that they think they have a good idea of Why The administration is cagey.

Fifty-three percent of Americans think that the administration has not published the files because Trump is appointed in them, according to Yougov. The company too discovery That 61% think that Trump is named in Epstein files. The two results were published Thursday, the day after the Wall Street Journal reported that the Ministry of Justice informed Trump about his name Appearing “several times” in the files.

The two polls find that the Republicans do not defend Trump completely either. In both, around 1 in 3 republicans responds “not sure” instead of answering “yes” or “no”, signaling discomfort with the problem. Which makes sense. The republican base has long sought the government to publish its files on Epstein – and now that could harm their main guy? Talk about friendly fire.

The reason for this delicate? Well, 49% of Republicans think that Trump had at least a little knowledge of Epstein crimes before any allegation became public, according to a survey of July 18 Yougov. Only 21% say he knew nothing.

That said, it could also be that Democrats are more willing to jump on this scandal and assume that they know more than them. In these three polls, only 11 to 12% of the Democrats replied “not sure” and, in the three, the “unwelling” figures of the self -employed were much more closely aligned with the Republicans “.

Anyway, it is remarkable that the Republicans are not Also Assuming they know more and Trump is clean in the scandal.

Something else to keep in mind: despite two reports of bombs of the Wall Street Journal, A strike on July 17th And the other last Wednesday, the part of the Americans who think that Trump is involved in Epstein crimes is high, but largely unchanged since early June. About 45% of Americans think Trump was involved.

Perhaps if the Ministry of Justice ends up bending and publishing more files, this number will increase. And perhaps, just perhaps, that’s why we haven’t seen them.

Is there a discharge in your backyard?

Three months ago, Trump chief of the Environmental Protection Agency Lee Zeldin visited a dangerous discharge near Saint-Louis, where a The fire of underground garbage burns towards an old cache of nuclear waste. After that, he moving To speed up cleaning.

The Trump administration is weaken regulations concerning discharge emissionseven when these emissions contain toxic chemicals like benzene, which can cause leukemia and other cancers.

So you may be wondering … How far is the nearest discharge? Well, Daily Kos has built a tool for this.

Using the most recent data From the Environmental Protection Agency, we have drawn on the map below almost all of the waste of solid and closed waste active and closed in the United States and its territories. You will also find the tonnage of waste from each site. Some sites were to be excluded from the card due to the government not providing high quality location data or the tonnage of site waste.

Nevertheless, further on, you will find a available table which has 2,641 discharges in the United States, including the State, the City and the Comté for each.

Updates?

• Trump wants to make two sports teams – Washington commanders of the NFL and the Cleveland Guardians of the MLB –Return to their old racist names. But the Americans think he exceeds: roughly Two -thirds say that it is unacceptable For him to make such a request, while only 15% think that it is acceptable, according to Yougov. Even a plurality of republicans (38%) say that it is unacceptable.

• Of course, financing of public media can hurt the very rural Americans Who voted Trump massively as a function last year, but it is also largely unpopular. According to federal funding for public broadcasting Last Yougov / The Economist survey. Meanwhile, 33% want the financing to be kept the same and 28% want it to increase.

Ambient check

For all the attention that obtaining cryptocurrency, including from the presidentYou expect many people to have it. However, only 14% of American adults have it, according to Falsification. Those who are more likely to own are men aged 18 to 49 (25% have) and those of households earn $ 90,000 per year (19% expect it).

But apart from these people, the vast majority of Americans show no appetite to jump on the blockchain. A large majority (60%) have no interest in buying crypto, and an additional 17% are intrigued but have no intention of buying it anytime soon.