Houston Open odds, predictions, props: PGA Tour picks, best prop bets from proven from golf model
The 2026 Houston Open begins Thursday from Memorial Park Golf Course in Houston, Texas, marking Brooks Koepka’s sixth PGA Tour season event since returning from LIV Golf. After two tough performances to begin his comeback, the nine-time PGA Tour winner has finished in the top 20 in three straight tournaments, and given that many of the best golfers in recent seasons are winning the 2026 Houston Open, the SportsLine model likes Koepka to post his best finish of the year. The model sees value in Koepka to finish in the top five at the 2026 Houston Open with odds of +550 in the latest 2026 Houston Open odds. Koepka has finished fifth in one of his two career PGA Tour events at Memorial Park Golf Course.
Texas native Scottie Scheffler started as the heavy favorite, but he withdrew Tuesday, opening the field to several other golfers. The model also sees value in Nicolai Hojgaard finishing in the top 10 for 2026 Houston Open betting. The model also likes Adam Scott in the 2026 Houston Open field, backing him to break out of his group as the top finisher for 2026 Houston Open prop betting at DraftKings. Before locking in any prop picks for the 2026 Houston Open or other PGA Tour bets on sites like FanDuel or DraftKings, be sure to check out the golf predictions and projected rankings from SportsLine’s proven computer model.
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SportsLine’s proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June 2020. In fact, the model is up more than $8,000 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.
That same model also won 16 majors over the weekend, including the 2025 Masters – its fourth Masters in a row – as well as this year’s PGA Championship and Open Championship. Anyone who has followed their sports betting choices could have seen massive returns on betting sites.
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Best Accessory Picks for the 2026 Houston Open
- Brooks Koepka finishes in the top 5 (+550)
- Nicolai Hojgaard finishes in the top 10 (+340)
- Adam Scott wins Group C at DraftKings (+340)
Brooks Koepka: Top 5 (+550)
Koepka is one of the biggest names in golf in the world, but after leaving the PGA Tour and competing for LIV Golf for three years, fewer golf fans watched him play. He’s still adjusting to the PGA Tour schedule, but any rust from less consistent play over the past three years appears to be wearing off with three straight top-20 finishes. Koepka, 35, is a nine-time PGA Tour winner and five-time major champion. He will be competing at Memorial Park Golf Course for the third time in his career and he finished fifth in one of those two starts. This weekend’s field isn’t as elite as he’ll face it most of the year, and with that, the model sees strong value in Koepka with +550 odds to finish in the top five at the 2026 Houston Open.
Nicolai Hojgaard finishes in the top 10 (+340)
The 25-year-old has two top-six finishes in six tournaments this year, qualifying in all six events. He’s finished in the top 25 in four of six tournaments, so he’s often been in the hunt for a top 10 spot this season. Hojgaard is 13th on the PGA Tour in total strokes gained this season and has killed the ball with his driver this year, ranking 14th in distance traveled. He’s also 10th in scrambling, which gave him a boost, because despite his far moves, they don’t always go straight, ranking 134th in driving accuracy. But if the 25-year-old can straighten out his attacks in a weaker field, the model certainly sees value in him with odds over 3-1 to finish in the top 10, which he has done in 33% of his tournaments this year. In comparison, odds of +340 give an implied odds of 22.7%, which presents a nice value.
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Adam Scott wins Group C at DraftKings (+340)
At DraftKings Sportsbook, Group C includes Scott, Ben Griffin, Harris English, Michael Thorbjornsen and Marco Penge. Scott is the only one of the five that the model projects to finish in the top 10, but he had the second-best chance to win this DraftKings group. Scott is a 14-time winner on the PGA Tour, as the 45-year-old will have the experience factor on the field at the Houston Open. He has won his two career events on the Memorial Park golf course. This season, Scott has made the cut in each of his six PGA Tour events, including two top 11s in his last three tournaments, and he is 18th on the PGA Tour in scoring average. The model sees great value in Scott, given his chances in this grouping competition.
Want more picks for the 2026 Houston Open?
You’ve seen the 2026 Houston Open accessories from the SportsLine model for this weekend. Now check out the model’s full rankings for the 2026 Houston Open, including four golfers with odds of +300 or higher among the top 10 contenders. You can only see the model choices here.
Who will win the 2026 Houston Open and which long shots will surprise the golf world? Check out the 2026 Houston Open odds, then visit SportsLine to see the projected rankings, all from the model that has won 16 golf majors, including three in 2025.
