Iran’s Capital Has Run Out of Water, Forcing It to Move

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The Iranian capital is moving. The reason is an ecological disaster

The decision to move Iran’s capital is partly driven by climate change, but experts say decades of human errors and actions are also to blame.

A water feature made up of several levels collects dust

A dry body of water in Tehran on November 9, 2025.

ATTA KENARE/AFP/Getty Images

Amid a worsening ecological crisis and severe water shortage, Tehran can no longer remain Iran’s capital, the country’s president said.

The situation in Tehran is the result of a “perfect storm of climate change and corruption,” says Michael Rubin, a policy analyst at the American Enterprise Institute.

“We no longer have a choice,” Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian said in a speech on Thursday.


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Iranian officials are instead considering moving the capital to the country’s southern coast. But experts say the proposal does not change the reality for the nearly 10 million people who live in Tehran and who are now suffering the consequences of a decades-long dwindling water supply.

Since at least 2008, scientists have warned that uncontrolled pumping of groundwater for cities and agriculture was rapidly drying up the country’s aquifers. Overexploitation not only depleted underground reserves: it destroyed them, as the land compressed and sank irreversibly. A recent study found that Iran’s central plateau, where most of the country’s aquifers are located, is sinking by more than 35 centimeters every year. As a result, aquifers lose about 1.7 billion cubic meters of water per year due to the constant crushing of the ground, leaving no space for underground water storage, says Darío Solano, a geoscientist at the National Autonomous University of Mexico, who was not involved in the study.

“We saw it coming,” Solano says.

Other major cities like Cape Town, South Africa, Mexico City and Jakarta, Indonesia, as well as parts of California, are also facing zero-day scenarios as they sink and run out of water.

This is not the first time that the Iranian capital has moved. Over the centuries, it has moved several times, from Tabriz to Isfahan via Shiraz. Some of these ancient capitals still thrive while others exist only as ruins, Rubin explains. But this is the first time that the Iranian government has moved the capital due to an ecological disaster.

Yet, Rubin says, “it would be a mistake to view the issue solely from the perspective of climate change.” Mismanagement of water, land and wastewater as well as corruption have worsened the crisis, he says. If the capital moves to the remote Makran coast to the south, it could cost more than $100 billion. The region is known for its harsh climate and difficult terrain, and some experts doubt its viability as a national center. Capital relocation is often driven more by political reasons than environmental concerns, says Linda Shi, a social scientist and urban planner at Cornell University. “Climate change is not the cause, but it is a convenient factor to blame to avoid taking responsibility” for bad policy decisions, she said.

Editor’s Note (11/21/25): This article was edited after publication to correct the date of the quoted statement by Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian and the link to the recent study on the sinking of the Iranian Central Plateau.

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