NFL week 1 anytime touchdown cheat sheet: Lock in Kyren Williams, Tee Higgins, Worthy, Andrews, and AJ Brown
Week 1 of the 2025 NFL season is fast approaching, with the action starting on Thursday, September 4, between the Cowboys of Dallas and the Eagles of Philadelphia. This means that there are a lot of bets of affected markers at any time to do for list 1 of the week 1 managed by 16 games.
The Sportsline projection model has been developed and propelled by the interior team of the lines. You can find all the choices and content of our team on our blog, which has all our best personal bets for free.
Best Paris to be touched at any time
We follow the percentage of simulations according to which each player marks a starting coup, a return of a boot of clearance, a return of kick -off, a return of interception or a return to the return back escaped. We then compare this to the implicit percentage of the Paris Consensus line and seek those where our percentage is at least as good as these dimensions.
We do not rely on a right value of Paris based on SIM% – Costs%. We are not robots. We think we bleed, we love football.
We select our favorite bets according to situational factors, relevant history and Best price. If we have a 58% forecast and each major book has -135 to -145, we may not have a ton of value, but perhaps our forecasts assume that the player’s safeguard is active, but it is very questionable. We know that if this backup is inactive, our percentage increases to 67%. We will jump to this action at the best price at the time of publication (-135 in this example).
Kyren Williams -115, Fanduel
The -115 implies 53.5%, and it is the best of our last board of directors. This has a ton, a ton, a ton of value on the Draftings -165 or -190 of Draftings! Our Sims have Williams at the top of the 87%list.
Don’t think too much. Williams has 3 rushing + touchdown in his last two seasons (28 games). The Rams gave him a big contract, showing that they are fully intended to keep it as the main RB work horse. Sorry, Blake Corum. Matthew Stafford should play, which is good for Rams to bring the ball together near the goal line. But with the age and the bad back of staff, he will not make tash pushes or a goal line. Ninety percent of the Rams precipitated TDs will be by Williams, which represented 85% of the precipitated TDs of this team when he plays throughout his career.
| Confrontation | PLAYER | Yes atd | Proj |
| Lar Hou | Kyren Williams | -115, 53.5% | 0.87 |
| Cin @Cle | Ja`ar Chase | -135, 57.4% | 0.79 |
| GB Det | Josh Jacobs | -185, 64.9% | 0.75 |
| Phi Dal | Saquon Barkley | -175, 63.6% | 0.75 |
| Phi Dal | Jalen hurts | -135, 57.4% | 0.72 |
| ATL TB | Bijan Robinson | -220, 68.8% | 0.71 |
| Bal @buf | DERRICK Henry | -150, 60% | 0.71 |
| Cin @Cle | Hunt | -170, 63% | 0.67 |
| Det @gb | Jahmyr Gibbs | -115, 53.5% | 0.66 |
| Cin @Cle | Tee Higgins | +125, 44.4% | 0.62 |
| Phi Dal | AJ Brown | +160, 38.5% | 0.62 |
| BUF BAL | James Cook | -110, 52.4% | 0.61 |
| Phi Dal | Devonta Smith | +185, 35.1% | 0.61 |
| KC Lac (N) | Xavier Digne | +130, 43.5% | 0.59 |
| Lar Hou | Davante Adams | +150, 40% | 0.56 |
| BUF BAL | Josh Allen | -115, 53.5% | 0.52 |
| Tan | Courtland Sutton | +115, 46.5% | 0.52 |
| Tan | RJ Harvey | +160, 38.5% | 0.52 |
| Ari @no | Marvin Harrison Jr. | +135, 42.6% | 0.51 |
| Hou @lar | Nico Collins | +130, 43.5% | 0.49 |
| Bal @buf | Mark Andrews | +190, 34.5% | 0.47 |
| ATL TB | Drake London | +135, 42.6% | 0.46 |
| Tan | Marvin Mims | +260, 27.8% | 0.46 |
| Det @gb | Amon-Ra St. Brown | +130, 43.5% | 0.45 |
| Chi min | DJ Moore | +160, 38.5% | 0.43 |
| Key | Jerome Ford | +145, 40.8% | 0.43 |
| Hou @lar | Nick Chubb | +160, 38.5% | 0.43 |
| Chi min | Roschon Johnson | +150, 40% | 0.42 |
| Lake KC (N) | Ladd McConkey | +145, 40.8% | 0.42 |
| Bal @buf | RASHOD BATEMAN | +230, 30.3% | 0.41 |
| Key | David Njoku | +250, 28.6% | 0.41 |
| Min @chi | Navy Jalen | +470, 17.5% | 0.4 |
Tee Higgins +130, BET365
Most books have this at +125, so you might as well enter the +5 additional silver line units. If you can combine this with a nice promo or a deposit bonus, you are in business.
Although we have technically even more value in Ja’marr Chase, I personally like to get money on a bet that our model has struck much more than 50% of the time. I also like when the dimensions are lazy. In this case, the range of 43% dimensions is directly in accordance with the Higgins career of 39% on the rate (29-45 on).
But 2024 was another story with Higgins going 7-5 and, above all, 6-2 on the section. Bengals will be in shootings all season. Joe Flacco will let him tear him away for Cleveland. Cincinnati is tired to start each season with an offensive failure of the abyssal opening week. Bengals have played a lot at Joe Burrow in pre-season to ensure quick start.
AJ Brown +165, Caesars
This line is considerably better than the +140 ESPN offers and much better than the +123 at Betrivers.
As with Higgins, we get more money on a line that we hit much over 50%. Philadelphia started last season a little slow, especially in the passage game. Brown had only one hit in a section of seven games. But the triumphant of Philly near the season started with Brown marking in five of his last seven games, despite only three, six and three receptions in three games. In both factors, he had only two and one reception.
For his career, Brown has scored a TD in more than 50% of his home matches (less than 40% on the road). The Eagles make it go offensively and seek to start the season as they finished it. Our model is also much higher on the TD of Jalen Hurts’s Pass than the ratings which involve with a projection of touch of almost two passages. Who knows if Micah Parsons will be there, and the defense of cowboys could be a waste.
Xavier Worthy +140, Caesars
I love it when players have a price as if they were “normal” for their position. In this case, worthy as WR being a price mainly according to the percentage of passing TDS which they can expect, then adjusted for the total team. Worthy scored a reception touch in 42% of his games last season (including the playoffs), which +140 implies. But Andy Reid, of day 1, also complicated how to use Worthy’s speed to mark three precipitated affected. When you throw that Rashee Rice has accepted a six -game suspension, Hollywood Brown has not been 100% for years and Worthy’s precipitated Touché potential is an excellent bet.
Mark Andrews +190 Caesars, Fanduel, Fanatics
Wow, Caesars really want your ATD action because they once again offer the best price, although they are equally with Fanduel and Fanatics.
Andrews more than 5.5 affected receives is one of my favorite seasonal future. Isaiah was probably not put in IR, but the wait is that it will be missing at least the week 1. But even with probably last season, Andrews crushed this once he became healthy, marking in 10 of his last 12 regular season games.
This line is not “yes, capture a conversion in 2 points to send the game to OT in conditions of eliminatory series in Buffalo.” It is a simple ATD because Andrews is the favorite target of Te1 and Lamar Jackson. Jackson is also known to have tried to bring the ball to some players when they have sorrow. During his 2019 MVP season, Jackson made a duty to bring the ball to Seth Roberts because he had not yet marked a hit this season. Recently, Jackson spoke of ensuring that the ball is tightened at the third channel Charlie Kolar a game or two before Kolar finally marks.
Heck, even last season, Jackson was angry that so many people thought that Andws were “washed” that he had made a duty to bring the ball to Andrews. After what happened in the playoffs, Andrews Atd is a lock.
These are just a fraction of our best bets for free on our new blog. We will provide the best personal bets of our team for each NFL match.
