Broncos vs. Commanders odds, line: ‘Sunday Night Football’ picks from 10K sims

The teams coming off byes but going in opposite directions will meet in the Week 13 NFL “Sunday Night Football” game as the Denver Broncos visit the Washington Commanders. Denver (9-2) has won eight in a row and beat Kansas City, 22-19, in its last game. Meanwhile, Washington has lost six games in a row, most recently to Miami, 16-13, in the NFL’s first-ever game in Madrid on November 16. Jayden Daniels (elbow), out since Week 9, has been ruled out.

Kickoff will be at 8:20 p.m. ET from Northwest Stadium in Landover, Maryland. The teams have alternated wins and losses over their last eight matchups, with Washington prevailing in the last meeting in 2023. The latest Commanders vs. Broncos odds have Denver as a 6-point road favorite, while the over/under in total points scored is 43.5 via SportsLine consensus. Before making any Broncos vs. Commanders picks, check out the NFL predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

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The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, costs well over $7,000 for $100 players among the NFL’s top-rated picks since its inception. The model enters Week 13 with a 49-33 record on top-rated picks dating back to 2024. Anyone following him NFL betting choice on sports betting and betting sites could have seen strong returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Commanders vs. Broncos. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the football odds and trends for the Broncos vs. Commanders:

Why the Broncos can cover

Denver has covered three of its last four games and is 5-3 ATS during its eight-game winning streak. This contrasts with Washington who has not only lost six games in a row, but the Commanders have also lost against the spread in all six of those cases. The Broncos have an elite defense, leading the NFL in sacks, having allowed the fewest passing touchdowns and holding their opponents to the league’s lowest in yards per carry. The defense gets another boost with cornerback Pat Surtain II (pectoral) cleared to play. On the other end of the spectrum is Washington’s defense, which ranks bottom five in points allowed, yards allowed and turnovers forced. Washington has allowed an average of 34 points over its last five games, while the Broncos have not allowed 34 points in any game this season. Find out which team to support on SportsLine.

Why commanders can cover

Washington HC Dan Quinn took over defensive playmaking duties before the team’s final game, and the results were instant as the Commanders gave up just 16 points and a season-low 142 passing yards. This is a promising sign for SNF, especially against a Broncos offense that doesn’t travel. The Broncos have averaged just 18 points over their last four road games, and they have failed to rush for more than 100 yards in three straight games overall. Although Daniels’ return is uncertain, wide receiver Terry McLaurin (quad) has been cleared to return after being out since Week 8. Find out which team to support at SportsLine.

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How to Make Broncos vs. Commanders Picks

SportsLine’s model has simulated Commanders vs. Broncos 10,000 times and is over the total, projecting a combined 45 points. It also indicates that one side of the gap occurs in well over 50% of simulations. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins the Broncos against the Commanders, and which side of the spread reaches well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Commanders vs. Broncos spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that has finished well above $7,000 on its NFL picks since its inception, and find out.