Poll finds partisan split in California on U.S. direction under Trump

Voters from California are strongly divided according to supporters with regard to President Trump, with large majorities of non -affiliated democrats and voters by disapproving and believing that the country is heading in the wrong direction under its direction, and many Republicans feeling the opposite, according to a new survey carried out for the Times.

The results are remarkably consistent with the survey of the republican president in the most populated blue state in the country, said Mark Dicamillo, director of the UC Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies.

“If you look at all the job notes that we have made about President Trump – and this brings back throughout his first mandate – the voters have almost maintained the same posture,” said Dicamillo. “Voters know who he is.”

The same partisan fracture also appeared in the survey on a certain number of chaud button questions, such as MEDICAIDI cuts and prices, said DCAMIILLO – with the “almost uniformly” democrats opposed to Trump’s agenda and Republicans “almost aboard what Trump does”.

When they were asked if the radical prices that Trump imposed on international trade partners had a “notable negative impact” on their family expenses, 71% of Democrats said yes, while 76% of Republicans said no.

“If you are a republican, you tend to reduce impacts – you minimize them or ignore them,” while Democrats “tend to blame everything on Trump,” said Dicamillo.

When they were asked if they were convinced that the Trump administration would provide California with almost $ 40 billion in forest fire aid that he had requested in response to devastating fires in the Los Angeles region in January, 93% of Democrats said they were not confident – compared to 43% of the Republicans who said they were confident.

In a state where registered Democrats are more numerous than the Republicans of almost 2 to 1, the effect is that Trump was terribly succeeded in the survey overall, just as he did during the recent presidential votes in the state.

The survey – carried out from August 11 to 17 with 4,950 registered voters interviewed – revealed that 69% of the voters likely of Trump’s disapproved California, 62% disapproving strongly, while 29% approved of it. A similar majority, 68%, said they thought the country was heading in the wrong direction, while 26% said it was heading in the right direction.

While 90% of Democrats and 75% of unresolved voters said the country was on the wrong track, only 20% of Republicans felt in this way, according to the survey.

The White House did not respond to a request for comments on the survey.

Senator Alex Padilla (D-Calif.) Said that the conclusions prove that the Trump agenda “is devastating communities of California who are dealing with harmful and real consequences” of the president’s policies.

“The Trump administration does not represent the views of the vast majority of Californians and that is why Trump chose California to push the limits of its constitutional power,” said Padilla. “While more and more Americans across the country continue to feel the impacts of its destructive policies, public support will continue to erode.”

G. Cristina Mora, co -director of the Institute of Government Studies of the UC Berkeley, or IGS, said that the results were interesting, in particular in the light of other recent surveys for times that have found slightly more nuanced republican impressions – and more caution – in the event of tactics and Trump immigration tactics.

On its global approval and on other parts of its program, including the MEDICAIDE prices and cuts, “the strength of the partisanry is very clear,” said Mora.

Medicaid cup

State voters are also divided with regard to recent decisions on Medicaid health insurance for low -income residents, according to the survey. The state version is known as Medi-Cal.

For example, Californians largely disappear the new work requirements for the recipients of Medicaid and Medi-Cal under the great bill that Trump defended and that the Republicans of the Congress recently adopted, revealed the survey.

The bill obliges most of the beneficiaries of Medicaid aged 18 to 64 to work at least 80 hours per month in order to continue to receive services. The Republicans deceived the change as tenor of responsible people and protecting themselves from the abuses of dollars of federal taxpayers, while the Democrats denounced it as a threat to public health which would exceed millions of vulnerable Americans of their health insurance.

The survey revealed that 61% of Californians disapproved of the change, 43% strongly disapproving, while 36% approved, 21% by greatly approved. Voters were however strongly divided according to party parties, 80% of Republicans approving changes and 85% of Democrats disappear them.

The Californians also disapproved – although by a smaller margin – of a decision by the Democrats of California and Governor Gavin Newsom to help close a budgetary deficit by prohibiting unleated adult immigrants from newly registering for medical advantages.

A slight majority of respondents in the survey, or 52%, said they disapproved of the new restriction, with 17% in a strong disapproved manner. The survey revealed that 43% of respondents approved the change, including 30% who have greatly approved it.

Among the Democrats, 77% disapproved of the change. Among the Republicans, 87% approved. Among the voters without preference of the party, 52% disapproved.

More than half of respondents in the survey – 57% – said neither them nor their members of their immediate family benefit from medical services, while 35% said they did. Among those who receive Medi -Cal, two -thirds – or 67% – said they were very or somewhat worried about losing, or for someone from his immediate family, their coverage because of changes in the Trump administration.

Nadereh Pourat, associate director of the UCLA health health center, said that there is historical evidence to show what will then happen under changes – and it is not good.

The work requirements will undoubtedly lead to people losing health coverage, just as thousands of people have done it when the Arkansas has implemented a similar requirement years ago, she said.

When people lose the coverage, the cost of preventive care increases and they generally receive less, she said. “If the doctor’s visit is in competition with food on the table or rent, people will jump these primary care visits,” she said-and “often find themselves in the emergency room” instead.

And it is more expensive not only for them, but also for local and state health systems, she said.

High -speed rail cut

The Californians are also strongly divided on state efforts to build a high -speed rail line through the central valley, after the Trump administration announced that it recovered $ 4 billion in promised federal funding.

The project was initially envisaged as Los Angeles connecting to San Francisco by 2026, but the officials have since set new bakersfield connection objectives in Merced by 2030. The project is considerably higher than the budget, and those responsible for the Trump administration called a “boondoggle”.

The survey revealed that 49% of Californians support the project, including 28% strongly in favor of it. He revealed that 42% opposed the project, including 28% which firmly oppose it.

Among the Democrats, 66% were in favor of the project. Among the Republicans, 77% were opposed. Among the voters without preference of the party, 49% were in favor while 39% were opposed.

In the County of Los Angeles, 54% of voters were in favor of continuing the project, while 58% of voters in the bay region were favorable. In the central valley, 51% of voters were opposed, against 41% in favor.

The senator of the State Dave Cortese (D-San José), who chairs the Senate transport committee, said that political rhetoric around the project has clearly had an effect on the way in which voters think of it, and it is partly because the heads of state did not do enough to explain why the project has economic meaning.

“Healthy skepticism is a good thing, especially when you are dealing with billions of dollars,” he said. “It is on the legislators and the governor at the moment in California to set up a strategy in which you cannot unravel many holes, and that has not been the case in the past.”

Cortese said that he had started his life as an orchard agent in what is now Silicon Valley, knows what the main investments in public infrastructure can mean for rural communities such as those of the Central Valley, and will be hyperfociated on this message in the future.

“There is no part of the California I knew, which awaits more economic development than Bakersfield. Probably the second is Fresno,” he said.

He said he would also highlight local project skeptics that Trump administration taking $ 4 billion from California would be a silly thing to do, regardless of their policy. Local conservative officials who understand that it will be “the key to helping us turn the trend,” he said.

Last month, California’s high -speed rail authority continued the Trump administration for the withdrawal of funds. The state also continues the Trump administration on various changes to Medicaid, Trump’s prices and the immigration application tactics.

Mora said that the clear fracture between Democrats and Republicans on Trump and its program called on other recent polls that showed that many voters have immediately changed their point of view on the economy after Trump took office – Republicans suddenly more optimistic and more pessimistic democrats.

Everything is the reflection of our modern and hyperpartisan policy, she said, where people’s perceptions-including on their own economic well-being-are “equally more closely to the ideas about who is in power”.