Polls Show Democrats Losing Ground for 2026 Midterms
As President Trump puts more emphasis on the economy and ordinary people begin to feel the easing of Bidenflation, things don’t look as rosy for Democrats in the upcoming midterm elections.
Looking at the RealClearPolitics poll, what was a clear 5.5-point lead for Democrats in the generic Congressional poll earlier this month has now been cut in half, to just 2.7 points.
On December 1, 46.5 percent of respondents wanted to see Democrats control the U.S. House and Senate, compared to 41 percent who said the same about the Republican Party.
Today, support for Democrats stands at 45.3 percent, compared to 42.6 percent for Republicans.
As a reminder, during the 2018 midterm elections, and while Donald Trump was in the White House, Democrats led by an average of 7.3% in a generic Congressional poll. It’s worth noting that even with this lead, Democrats failed to win back the U.S. Senate.
It’s also worth noting that Republicans perform better in specific polls, and this apples-to-apples comparison is the most accurate way I know of measuring momentum.
Emerson’s latest poll shows Democrats up two. By November, Emerson had four more Democrats.
Morning Consult shows that Democrats are up just one point. Two previous Morning Consult polls had Democrats up four.
Quantus Insights counts an increase of two Democrats, up from four earlier this month.
The Democrats’ six-point lead in Economist/YouGov polls has been reduced to just four points.
Quinnipiac had a lead of nine Democrats in October. Today, that lead is only four.
Only outlier Reuters has good news for Democrats, a jump from a one-point lead to a four-point lead.
This is real, slow but steady movement for the Republican Party, and it’s not hard to understand the cause. In recent weeks, the Trump administration has rightly boasted about its economic progress. Additionally, barometers for ordinary Americans, like gas and egg prices, have improved noticeably.
Additionally, Democrats are nowhere near as focused on the economy as they should be. When they’re not calling for outright sedition in the military, they’re complaining about a long-overdue improvement from the White House, panicking for all 11,286,312 people.th time on something Orange Bad Man said and voting in favor of sterilized and gay little children. Plus, all their pessimistic talk about Trump’s tariffs and soaring inflation has been proven to be ridiculously false.
We have a long way to go before the midterm elections, so the usual caveats apply about how anything can happen. But for now, I’d rather be us than them. A 2.7 point lead probably isn’t enough to take back the House, momentum is with us and everyone expects the economy to be even better next year.
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