The Republicans Bounce Back (A Little) in the Battle for the U.S. Senate – RedState

Despite my last article, only a month ago, the Battle of the American Senate of 2026 continued to accelerate.

President Trump is currently 45.4% of approval at 50.9% disapproval at the RCP average. (Which probably includes anti-Trump biased surveys.) This is fundamentally unchanged from the place where it has been for some time, and there is still no indication that any kind of “blue wave” is built.

However, there may be a certain danger of economic slowdown, as indicated by the stagnant report of August jobs. But it is important not to jump to the conclusions or to exaggerate things, despite the constant desire of the MSM to do exactly that, when it could harm Donald Trump.

Of course, Democrats continue to have their own problems – their politicians and committed supporters continue to move more and more to the left (see their support for Mamdani), which makes more and more difficult to call on non -heavy Democrats. And it makes their destiny loop.

Read more: Democrats go up high in the American Senate

The mid-term results of 2026 can depend on the character and the force of the Trump realignment

Now let’s move on to new news from competitive races for the American Senate:

Alaska: Dan Sullivan / 54% R / Problem R

There was a democratic push to attract the former representative Mary Peltola, who (almost) served two mandates, in the race for the Senate. More recently, Ivan Moore, a democratic sounder, questioned the state to show that the senator with two mandates Dan Sullivan held a close advance of 46.7% to 42.5%. Do not forget that Alaska has a ballot of the general elections with a single rank that was created which was created to help the republican senator from Renegat Lisa Murkowski to win the re -election and also gives a boost to the Democrats. However, I continue to believe that Peltola would be stupid to appear in the Senate. Peltola should arise for the open governor, who as a non -federal race in Red Alaska is much more gagging by a Democrat. Interestingly, there were also news about the race for the Senate in 2028, where Senator Murkowski will be challenged by the Républicain of Alaska retired, Mike Dunleavy.

Florida (Special): Ashley Moody / Named in 2025 / Problem R

Representative Jared Moskowitz recently did the news twice – first by predicting that the state of conviction for his Democratic Party in Florida, then saying that a possible republican reissue could force him to present himself to the Senate. The latter is stupid; He should go to the post of governor, for the reasons I mentioned above.

Georgia: Jon Ossoff / 50.62% D / Lean D

While Senator Ossoff continues to store money, $ 21 million so far, the three main republicans of primary race have a competitive primary. Representative Buddy Darden poured up an additional $ 1 million in his campaign, in addition to the $ 2 million that was previously ready. He also introduced a resolution of censorship for the representative of Muslim extremist democrats Rashida Tlaib, who recently attended a terrorist support event in Michigan. It is always a positive for a GOP primary (and should also be in the general). Meanwhile, Derek Dooley, the former coach who is the son of an even more famous coach, was approved by the popular republican governor Brian Kemp, who can also generate many campaign funds for him. Interesting, of the three candidates, the third, representing Mike Collins, always has the nominal edge in primary.

Illinois: Dick Durbin (withdrawal) / 54.93% D / probably D

This race returns to the board of directors when the GOP has obtained good news in this state, as a probable republican candidate in the Senate, former president of the Republican Party of Illinois and Big-Law lawyer, Don Tracy, announced that he would lend $ 2 million to his campaign. Tracy is always a huge outsider for one of the three main democrats who arise here, but if he can finance his campaign himself and transforms into a good candidate, he could have a “chance of punch” in the general elections. Meanwhile, of these three Democrats, representative Raja Krishnamoorthhi, representative Robin Kelly and Lieutenant -Governor Julianna Stratton, Krishnamoorthhi holds the advantage, seated on more than $ 12 million – against only $ 2 million and $ 1 million – and with a more moderate profile than the others that could divide their base. However, we do not know how much money the Democratic Governor of billionaire JB Pritzker is ready to use to stimulate his Stratton ticket companion.

Iowa: Joni Ernst (retired) / 51.74% r / Problem R

There have been great news here, while the outgoing republican senator Joni Ern announced his retirement. But immediately afterwards, the Republican representative Ashley Hinson said and was quickly approved by President Trump and the entire GOP management. Hinson is a member of three mandates (one of the four in the state) who outperformed in his district and “is a strong collection of funds and considered as a rising star in the party”, which “reported $ 2.8 million in its campaign chests earlier in the year”. The state of Iowa, strongly republican, under Donald Trump, Hinson is probably the winner on one of the many little -known Democrats.

Maine: Susan Collins / 50.98% R / Lean R

There is only one bunch of long -standing nobodies against the longtime senator Susan Collins, who is the only republican representing a strongly democratic state. The only one of these nobodies that drew attention is the veteran of Bernie Bros, Graham Platner, who raised $ 1 million after his announcement. Platner works on a universal health care platform and as a pacifist, especially against American support in Israel. Meanwhile, Collins has a long history of victory for difficult races, is widely respected on both sides of the aisle and has collected $ 2.4 million so far, with much more chances as president of the Senate credits committee. Even in a democratic state, it is very unlikely that Platner can beat Collins. The best bet for the Democrats continues to withdraw the Democratic Governor of Maine, Janet Mills, who has not yet made his decision. However, Mills herself has a major problem – voters tend to be reluctant to vote for candidates elderly looking for a first mandate in the American Senate, because they want new senators who can regularly accumulate seniority.

New Hampshire: Jeanne Shaheen (retired) / 56.64% D / Lean D

The Republicans have obtained good news in this state, because Sunnunu is indeed “seriously” considered as a race in the Senate. Unfortunately, he is not popular the former governor Chris Sununu, but his older brother less popular John Sununu, who held this exact siege of the Senate – and before that, he was a member of the popular congress – before being beaten by finding herself now, Senator Jeanne Shaheen in the 2008 anti -Gop landslide. Currently, the Democrats united on the number of dollars for the dollars for the dollars for the dollars for the dollars Dollars for dollars for dollars for dollars for dollars for dollars for dollars for dollars for dollars for dollars for dollars for dollars for dollars for dollars for dollars for the dollars game for dollars for the dollars game Price of the second $ PAPPAS – which represents half of the state – and has raised four dollars for the breed. and is considered a little moderate. The current Republicans who run are the former American senator Scott Brown of Massachusetts, who also ran and narrowly lost in 2014 at NH, and the state senator Dan Innis. The two current republicans of the race are pappas firmly dragged in the survey. John Sununu and Scott Brown would both have the same major problem – it is rare that a senator elected to reconquer a seat of the Senate after losing his re -election. However, among the three Republicans, John Sununu would probably be the best candidate, such as: 1) he is most likely to collect the necessary money, thanks to his relationships and those of his family; 2) The popularity of his last name; and 3) His story of having won in the state before.

Ohio (Special): Jon Husted / Named in 2025 / probably R

Former Democratic senator with three mandates Sherrod Brown has made a big splash by announcing his return offer, but he is still the oppressed against the named republican senator and former official state -elected official, Jon Husted. The Emerson survey increased by 50% to 44%, in a state that Donald Trump won almost two figures three times in a row. And as a outgoing, Husted wins the support of the Union that Brown has won before. While Brown will collect a lot of money and will certainly end up with a respectable percentage on the day of the ballot, he will need something more to upset Husted to reconquer a seat of the Senate after being defeated before.

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