Rockets vs. Thunder prediction, odds, spread, time: 2026 NBA picks for Saturday, Feb. 7

Teams looking to get back on track will face off when the Houston Rockets take on the Oklahoma City Thunder in a key Western Conference matchup on Saturday. Houston is coming off a 109-99 loss to Charlotte on Thursday, while Oklahoma City dropped a 116-106 decision to San Antonio on Wednesday. The Rockets (31-19), second in the Southwest Division, are 14-13 on the road this season. The Thunder (40-12), who are the top seed in the West and first in the Northwest Division, are 22-4 at home. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (abdominal strain) and Jalen Williams (hamstring) are out for OKC.

Tip-off from the Paycom Center in Oklahoma City is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET. Oklahoma City is a 3.5-point favorite in the latest Rockets vs. Thunder odds from DraftKings Sportsbook, while the over/under in total points scored is 214.5. Before making any Thunder vs. Rockets picks, check out NBA predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

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The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has generated well over $10,000 in betting profits for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past eight seasons. The model enters Week 16 of the 2025-26 NBA season with a scorching 38-16 mark on top-rated NBA spread picks dating back to last season. Anyone who follows his NBA betting tips on sports betting sites and betting apps could have seen huge returns.

Today, the model has simulated Rockets vs. Thunder 10,000 times and just revealed its coveted NBA picks and betting predictions. You can now head over to SportsLine to see the model’s choices. Here are several NBA odds and NBA betting lines for Thunder vs. Rockets:

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How to make Rockets vs Thunder picks

After 10,000 simulations of Rockets vs. Thunder, the SportsLine model is exceeding the total (214.5). The Over has struck in seven of the last 10 head-to-head meetings. The Over has also scored in seven of Oklahoma City’s last 10 games.

The SportsLine model projects Houston’s Kevin Durant to average 22.8 points and be one of six Rockets players to score 10.6 points or more. Oklahoma City’s Chet Holmgren is one of six OKC players to score in double figures as he leads the way with 19.5 projected points. The model projects 221 combined points while the Over clears 62% of the time.

It also generated a pick against the spread that reached well over 50% of simulations. You can head to SportsLine to see the model’s NBA picks.

So who wins Thunder against Rockets, and which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which way the Rockets vs. Thunder spread, all from the model that fetched well over $10,000 on top-rated NBA picks, and find out.