What Is Next? – RedState


The reminders ended in Taiwan, with the first round held on July 26 and the second on August 23. The 31 legislators Kuomintang (KMT), user -friendly in China, on the ballot, have retained their seats.
Basic organizations have launched the reminders in response to the controversial positions and actions of the KMT legislators, trips not disclosed in China and meetings with PCC officials, freezing the military budget and Taiwan legislation which would allow military personnel and officials to relieve allegiance to China. Another central question was the efforts of the KMT to extend the powers of the legislative yuan-intended to dominate the Taiwanese president Lai Ching-te, also president of the Progressive Democratic Party Pro-Independence (DPP).
This happens at a time when China continues to go up its military exercises around the island and its attacks on the gray area.
The results of the “big recall movement” contain key dishes to remember.
It seems that kmt legislators will also be entangled to take measures against the DPP agenda. They are likely to oppose any type of proposal that the DPP highlights to strengthen the island’s defenses and can even seek to place controversial pro-Chinese figures in various party positions.
Some people have criticized the approach to the LAI administration to treat the KMT as an inflexible. The recent remarks of conciliation of President Lai expressing his desire to work with the KMT on questions of mutual interest contradict this assertion. It remains to be seen how it goes, but the km may reject this peace offer.
After all, KMT officials supervised the democratic practice of reminders – infiltrated in the constitution of Taiwan – in political persecution, echoing the propaganda of Beijing. KMT legislators also threatened to withdraw President Lai earlier in the year.
How far the President Lai would be willing to compromise with the KMT also remains a question, given the emphasis put by his administration on the strengthening of the security of Taiwan. The compromise can only go so far when the other side is obtained from weapons, preparing the island’s forces, developing asymmetrical defense capacities and tackling Chinese infiltration as “provocative” actions.
The political impasse, as well as an enharding KMT, also have implications for American-taiwan and Straits relations.
It is possible that the Plan of the President Lai to increase the military budget is again reached the resistance of the KMT. Earlier this year, the KMT froze Taiwan’s military budget, arousing criticism from the American legislators. The KMT decided to thaw the budget before reminders in order to mitigate negative public opinion.
The obstruction of the KMT for military spending and the development of Taiwan’s defense would undoubtedly frustrate Washington, because the Trump administration has repeatedly called upon Taiwan to increase its defense expenses to 10% of its GDP. Such inaction can contribute to the tension between Taipei and Washington, which has questioned Taiwan’s commitment to his national defense and his support for deterrent led by the United States in Asia-Pacific.
Worse, the legislation adapted to China pushed by the KMT to intentionally deny the priorities of the foreign policy of President Lai would have the potential to ignite American-Taiwan relations, perhaps resulting in punitive Washington measures.
However, the defense expenses proposed by President Lai increases to 5% of GDP by 2030 are still unable to ask for the Trump administration. Perhaps Lai should consider reallowing 29.99 billion US dollars from its green transition to national defense – a decision that would greatly pay for Taiwan and the region.
Related: Selling AI computer flea to China: what could go wrong?
2030 can also be too late, American officials saying that XI ordered the People’s Army of Liberation to be ready to invade Taiwan by 2027, although certain factors can influence China’s desire to launch a large -scale invasion.
Certain arguments claim that the outcome of reminders can somewhat appease the PCC, at least for the moment, as Beijing could interpret it as the preference of the Taiwanese electorate for the status quo of the divided government rather than for a consolidated government under the lai which opposes the CCP.
However, there is nothing to believe that the Chinese military forces will let go of their efforts to intimidate the island, infiltrate Taiwanese society and prepare for a large -scale invasion. The Chinese Communist Party considers that Taiwan is more an integral part of its nation construction project more than ever, even if Taiwan is an independent country which has never been governed by the People’s Republic of China.
If anything, Beijing will double in the coming months. The CCP is likely to consider the results of this failed reminder vote as an opportunity to degenerate its influence operations to weaken Taiwan internally and as a limit to the efforts of the LAI government to counter China, which can all trigger more follow-up and engagement of the United States by the United States
Despite all the potential challenges to come, the reminders recall how safe and transparent Taiwan elections are. This is particularly appropriate because President Trump seeks to eliminate ballots by mail in the United States to combat electoral fraud.
Trump: “We are going to end the postal vote – it’s fraud!”pic.twitter.com/1bmdt8dye6
– Electoral assistant (@electionwiz) August 18, 2025
Read more: then on the agenda of Trump: get rid of ballots by mail and voting machines
In Taiwan, only vote in person on paper ballots is authorized. Voters are also required to provide an identity document made by the valid government in order to participate.
Taiwan also uses a method of counting manual voting bulletins, open to the public, where a survey worker reads aloud each ballot, displaying him so that everyone can see it, while another survey worker is responsible for recording the results on a board.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=duza7qigado
PCC interference campaigns which aim to manipulate public opinion via social media and other avenues remain a problem, but it is a distinct discussion. The way Taiwan leads its elections can and should serve as an example in the free world.
Time from here and the Taiwanese legislative elections of 2028 will be particularly critical, so watch carefully. Rest assured that the Trump administration is also closely monitors Taiwan, because it will dissuade China should be a key pillar of the 2025 national defense strategy.
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