2026 Genesis Invitational odds, favorites, predictions, field: Golf picks from PGA model
Another signature PGA event will take place this week when the 2026 Genesis Invitational begins Thursday at Riviera Country Club in Pacific Palisades, California. The purse is $20 million, with Ludvig Aberg returning as the defending champion. Collin Morikawa enters this tournament off a win at Pebble Beach, and based on course history, he has a good chance of continuing his resurgence this week after recording just one top 10 since March 2025. He has finished T19 or better at the Genesis Invitational the past four years, including a T2 at this event in 2022.
The latest 2026 Genesis Invitational odds via FanDuel Sportsbook list Scottie Scheffler as a +300 favorite (risk $100 to win $300), with Rory McIlroy at +1300. Hideki Matsuyama, who won this event in 2024, is at +2000, with Morikawa at +2700 and Aberg at +4500. Before locking in any picks for the 2026 Genesis Invitational or making PGA DFS picks on sites like FanDuel or DraftKings, be sure to check out the golf predictions and projected rankings from SportsLine’s proven computer model.
SportsLine’s proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has simulated every PGA Tour event 10,000 times and reveals golf betting choices that have always been extremely profitable.
That same model also won 16 majors over the weekend, including the 2025 Masters – its fourth Masters in a row – as well as this year’s PGA Championship and Open Championship. Anyone who has followed their sports betting choices could have seen massive returns on betting sites.
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Now that the 2026 Genesis Invitational field is locked in, the model has simulated the tournament 10,000 times and the results have been surprising. Head over to SportsLine now to see the projected rankings.
Genesis Invitational 2026 Predictions
One major surprise the model is calling for at the 2026 Genesis Invitational: Matsuyama, who won this event in 2024 and is coming off two consecutive top-10 performances, finishes outside the top 5 this week. Although he had the only victory in this event, he has also missed the cut twice since 2021, and a slow start pushed him out of the top 10 last year at Genesis. The model is not high compared to Matsuyama’s value at +2000 in the PGA odds. See who else disappears here.
Another surprise: the model is extremely high on Chris Gotterup at +3000. He is one of the hottest players on the PGA Tour, winning two of the four events he has played this year. Success dates back to later in 2025 as he finished in the top 10 four times between July and the end of the year, including a victory at the Scottish Open and a third place at the Open Championship. He is fifth in driving distance this season and sixth in Strokes Gained: Total, making him a strong value at the 2026 Genesis Invitational. Find out who else to pick here.
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How to make choices for the 2026 Genesis Invitational
The model also targets four more long shots of +2700 or higher to make a solid run. You can only see the model choices here.
Who will win the 2026 Genesis Invitational and which massive long shots will surprise the golf world? Check out the 2026 Genesis Invitational odds below, then visit SportsLine to see the projected rankings, all from the model that has won 16 golf majors, including three in 2025.
Genesis Invitational 2026 odds, favorites
Get all the Genesis Invitational 2026 picks, best bets and predictions here.
(odds via FanDuel and subject to change)
Scottie Scheffler +300
Rory McIlroy +1300
Xander Schauffele +1900
Tommy Fleetwood +1900
Hideki Matsuyama +2000
Patrick Cantlay +2500
Russell Henley +2700
Collin Morikawa +2700
Sam Burns +3000
Si Woo Kim +3000
Cameron Young +3000
Chris Gotterup +3000
Viktor Hovland +3500
Robert MacIntyre +3500
Min Woo Lee +3500
Justin Rose +4000
Maverick McNealy +4000
Ben Griffin +4000
Matt Fitzpatrick +4000
Rickie Fowler +4000
Jake Knapp +4000
Harris English +4000
Adam Scott +4500
Ludvig Aberg +4500
Sepp Straka +4500
Akshay Bhatia +5000
Jordan Spieth +5500
Keegan Bradley +5500
Shane Lowry +5500
Ryan Gerard +5500
Jason Day +6000
JJ Spain +6000
Kurt Kitayama +7000
Pierceson Coody +7000
Taylor Penndrith +7500
Max Homa +7500
Nick Taylor +7500
Alex Noren +8000
Jacob Bridgeman +8000
JT Poston +8000
Harry Room +8000
