2026 PGA Championship odds, predictions, field, date: PGA picks from 10,000 simulations

The major season got off to an exciting start as Rory McIlroy defended his championship at Augusta to win his second consecutive Masters. The upcoming 2026 PGA Championship begins Thursday, May 14 at Aronimink Golf Club in Newtown Square, Pennsylvania. Scottie Scheffler, who finished second at the Masters and last week’s RBC Heritage, is the reigning PGA Championship winner after winning by five strokes at Quail Hollow last year.

The latest 2026 PGA Championship odds via FanDuel list Scheffler as a +480 favorite (risk $100 to win $480), with McIlroy (+850) and Cameron Young (+1200) among the other early 2026 PGA Championship contenders. Jon Rahm (+1500) and Xander Schauffele (+1600) are the only other golfers to drop below +2000.

Before locking in any 2026 PGA Championship picks, or making any PGA Championship DFS picks or One and Done predictions, be sure to check out the 2026 PGA Championship predictions and projected rankings from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

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SportsLine’s proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has simulated every PGA Tour event 10,000 times and reveals golf betting choices that have always been extremely profitable.

That same model also won 17 majors over the weekend, including the 2026 Masters – its fifth Masters in a row – as well as last year’s PGA Championship and Open Championship. Anyone who has followed their sports betting choices could have seen massive returns on betting sites.

Now that the 2026 PGA Championship field is starting to take shape, the model has simulated the tournament 10,000 times and the results have been surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard, which you can use for PGA picks, single contests or PGA DFS lineups.

2026 PGA Championship Predictions

One major surprise the model is calling for at the 2026 PGA Championship: It projects DeChambeau barely cracking the top 10 despite being an early favorite. DeChambeau missed the cut at the 2026 Masters and then had to withdraw from LIV Golf Mexico City due to wrist discomfort in April. He recorded three consecutive top-five finishes at the PGA Championship, but also missed the cut twice and finished outside the top 30 two other times at this event. See who else disappears here.

Another surprise: The model projects a strong performance from Tommy Fleetwood, who has longer odds at +2500. The winner of the 2025 Tour Championship is still looking for his first major victory. He is in good form this season, however, recording five top-10 finishes. He was fighting for another top 10 at this year’s Masters before a fourth-round 76 dropped him down the leaderboard. Fleetwood has good stats off the tee this year, but has struggled with his putting, so if he can have a better weekend on the greens he has a good chance of being a contender. See who else to choose here.

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How to make picks for the 2026 PGA Championship

The model is also targeting several other longshots, including one who is hovering around 60-1 and having a superb run for the title. You can only see the template choices here.

Who will win the 2026 PGA Championship and which long shots will surprise the golf world? Check out the 2026 PGA Championship odds below, then visit SportsLine to see the projected leaderboard, all from the model that has won 17 golf majors, including three in 2025.

2026 PGA Championship odds, favorites

Get the complete 2026 PGA Championship picks, best bets and predictions here.
(odds via FanDuel and subject to change)

Scottie Scheffler +480
Rory McIlroy +850
Cameron Young +1200
Jon Rahm +1500
Alex Schauffele +1600
Ludvig Aberg +1800
Matt Fitzpatrick +2200
Bryson DeChambeau +2200
Tommy Fleetwood +2700
Collin Morikawa +4000
Patrick Cantlay +4000
Brooks Koepka +4000
Min Woo Lee +4500
Justin Thomas +4500
Nicolai Højgaard +5000
Justin Rose +5500
Russell Henley +5500
Tyrrell Hatton +5500
Adam Scott +6000
Viktor Hovland +6000
Si Woo Kim +6000
Sam Burns +6000
Chris Gotterup +6000
Rickie Fowler +6000
JJ Spain +6000
Patrick Reed +6500
Robert MacIntyre +6500
Kurt Kitayama +7000
Maverick McNealy +7000
Jordan Spieth +8000
Shane Lowry +8000
Sepp Straka +8000
Joaquin Niemann +10000
Hideki Matsuyama +10,000
Kristoffer Reitan +10000
Harris English +10000
Akshay Bhatia +10000
Gary Woodland +10000
Ben Griffin +10000
David Puig +10000
Thomas Détry +10000
Alex Fitzpatrick +10000
Keegan Bradley +10000
Jacob Bridgeman +10000
Alex Noren +12500
Jason Day +12500
Alex Smalley +12500
Harry Room +12500
Matt McCarty +15000
Sungjae I am +15000
Corey Conners +15000
Sahith Theegala +17500
Pierceson Coody +17500
Michael Thorbjörnsen +17500
Aaron Rai +17500
Nick Taylor +17500
Wyndham Clark +17500
Rasmus Højgaard +17500
Brian Harman +17500
Ryan Gérard +22500
Samuel Stevens +22500
Keith Mitchell +22500
Marco Penge +22500
Daniel Berger +22500
Sudarshan Yellamaraju +22500
Taylor Penndrith +25000
Tom McKibbin +25000
Ryan Fox +25000
Jordan Smith +25000
Michael Brennan +25000
Ryo Hisatsune +25,000
Angel Ayora +25000
Max Homa +25000
Cauley Bud +25000
JT Poston +25000
Jayden Schaper +35000
Haotong Li +35000
Daniel Hillier +35000
Dustin Johnson +35000
Aldrich Potgieter +35000
Ricky Castillo +35000
Christiaan Bezuidenhout +35000
André Novak +35000
Max Greyserman +35,000
Michael Kim +35000
Matt Wallace +35000
Cameron Smith +35000
Nico Echavarria +35000
Andrew Putnam +50000
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen +50000
Bernd Wiesberger +50000
Denny McCarthy +50000
Stéphane Jaeger +50000
Richard Hoey +50000
Lucas Glover +50000
Stewart Cink +50000
Billy Horschel +50000
Patrick Rodgers +50000
Max McGreevy +50,000
Ian Holt +50000
Austin Smotherman +50000
Mikael Lindberg +50000
Sami Valimaki +75000
Chris Kirk +75000
Johnny Keefer +75000
Casey Jarvis +75000
Steven Fisk +75000
John Parry +75000
Matti Schmid +75000
Garrick Higgo +75000
Jimmy Walker +100000
Braden Shattuck +100,000
Bryce Fisher +100,000
Jhonattan Vegas +100000
Michael Block +100000
YE Yang +100000
Luc Donald +100000
Ben Kern +100000
Elvis Smylie +100000
Timothy Wiseman +100,000
Jared Jones +100,000
Paul McClure +100000
Derek Berg +100000
Garrett Sapp +100000
Ryan Vermeer +100000
Dan Brown +100000
Adam Schenk +100000
Francisco Bide +100000
Austin injured +100,000
Padraig Harrington +100000
Adrien Saddier +100000
Emiliano Grillo +100000
Martin Kaymer +100000
Kota Kaneko +100,000
Ben Polland +100000
Brian Campbell +100000
Shaun Michel +100000
Jason Dufner +100000
Jordan Gumberg +100000
David Lipsky +100000
William Mouw +100000
Michael Kartrude +100000
Joe Highsmith +100000
Mark Geddes +100000
Davis Riley +100000
Tyler Collet +100000
Chris Gabriele +100000
Andy Sullivan +100000
Zach Haynes +100000
Travis Smith +100,000
Ryan Lenahan +100000
Kazuki Higa +100,000
Chandler Blanchet +100000
Jesse Droemer +100000
Brandt Snedeker +100000