Boise State vs. Nevada odds, picks, predictions, bets from proven model

Conference rivals from opposite ends of the Mountain West standings face off as the Boise State Broncos (5-2, 3-0) visit the Nevada Wolf Pack (1-6, 0-3) in College Football Week 9 Friday. Boise State leads the Mountain West and is coming off a big 56-31 win over UNLV. Meanwhile, the Wolf Pack sits in the conference cellar and looks for its first win since Week 2 against Sacramento State.

Kickoff from Mackay Stadium is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET on CBS Sports Network. The Broncos are 21-point favorites in the latest Boise State vs. Nevada odds, and the over/under on total points scored is 50.5. Before making any Nevada vs. Boise State picks, be sure to see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

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The model simulates each FBS game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a betting profit of over $2,000 for players at $100 on its top-rated college football picks, and represents a profitable ratio of 42-30 combined on the money line and over/under college football picks since the start of 2024. Anyone tracking their college football betting picks at sportsbooks and betting sites could have seen strong returns.

Now the model has focused on Nevada vs. Boise State. You can head to SportsLine now to see his picks. Here are several college football odds and betting lines for Boise State vs. Nevada in Week 9:

Why Boise State can cover

The Broncos are 5-1-1 ATS this season, and three of their wins have come by more than 22 points. The offense leads the Mountain West with an average of 478.6 yards passing per game and holds opposing quarterbacks to 189.7 passing yards. Starting quarterback Maddux Madsen is coming off a four-touchdown day against the Rebels where he also threw for 253 yards, and he should comfortably move the ball down the field against a mediocre Nevada pass defense. Boise State’s defense allows 351.3 total yards and 26.1 points per game, but should contain a weak Wolf Pack offense. Find out which team to support on SportsLine.

Why Nevada can cover

The Wolf Pack may be struggling overall, but they are still 3-4-0 ATS this season and have covered the spread in two of their last three games. That includes covering a 24-22 loss to New Mexico as a 13.5-point underdog in Week 8. Nevada also covered as a 42.5-point underdog against Penn State in Week 1. In three home games this season, the Wolf Pack has held two opponents to fewer than 20 points. Find out which team to support on SportsLine.

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How to make Nevada vs. Boise State picks

For Boise State vs. Nevada in Week 9, the model leans towards the total and also shows one side of the spread reaching well over 50% of simulations. See what it’s like on SportsLine.

Who wins Boise State against Nevada, and which side of the spread reaches well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Nevada vs. Boise State spread you should jump to, all from the model that is a combined 42-30 on the highest-rated picks since 2024.and find out.