New Jersey special election will test the sway of Democrats’ machine politics: From the Politics Desk

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This is the online version of From the political officea daily newsletter bringing you the latest reporting and analysis from the NBC News Politics team from the White House, Capitol Hill and the campaign trail.

In today’s edition, Steve Kornacki previews this week’s special primary election in New Jersey. Plus, our Capitol Hill team reports on the implications of Bill and Hillary Clinton’s agreement to testify before the House Oversight Committee.

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—Adam Wollner


New Jersey special election will test influence of Democrats’ political machine

Analysis by Steve Kornacki

This Thursday is primary day in New Jersey’s 11th District, with voters from both parties nominating candidates for the Democratic seat. Mike Sherrill released after being elected governor in November.

On the Republican side, Joe Hathawaywho is mayor of suburban Randolph, is running unopposed. In the general election – which will take place in April – he will be the prohibitive underdog.

The 11th District, which encompasses parts of three North Jersey counties, supported Kamala Harris by 9 points in the 2024 presidential election and went for Sherrill by 15 in the governor’s race. Add to that the fact that Democrats have consistently and vastly outperformed in special elections since the president was elected. Donald Trump Back at the White House, there’s a good chance it’ll be Thursday’s Democratic primary where the district’s next representative will be chosen.

About a dozen names will appear on the Democratic ballot, but only a few appear to have a realistic chance. The official Democratic organizations in the counties that make up the district have all chosen to support different candidates.

Machine politics has long been a driving factor for New Jersey Democrats, with strong county party organizations backing candidates and pushing them to victory with turnout armies and prominent positions on the ballot — what’s known as “the line.” That power was significantly weakened when a court struck down that voting model two years ago. From now on, all the candidates are grouped together on the ballot, even if the departmental parties can still nominate their supported candidate.

It’s unclear how much influence organizational endorsements still have in New Jersey — and this primary will provide a useful data point.

Formerly, Brendan GilEssex County Commissioner, would be the clear favorite, with official party support in what is the district’s largest component county. He still has significant advantages, with the support of many local leaders in Essex and the experience of winning county-wide elections. He also chairs the local Democratic Party in Montclair. A bastion of liberal activism and the district’s main vote-producing municipality, it is expected to represent nearly 10% of all votes cast.

Then there is Tom Malinowskiwho represented the neighboring 7th District in Congress from 2018 to 2022, when he was defeated by the Republican. Thomas Kean. Malinowski could have sought a rematch this year with Kean, but was drawn to the more solidly Democratic 11th District. Malinowski enjoys the support of the party organization in Morris County, although even at the height of the party machines, Morris had a weak Democratic infrastructure. Until recently, it was a strongly Republican county.

What Malinowski really has going for him is broad notoriety and a particular appeal to the highly committed, machine-phobic professional class that is ascendant within the Democratic Party. An approval from the senator. Andy Kimwho filed the lawsuit that killed the state’s old voting model two years ago, has only restored its powers. In a nod to Malinowski’s strength, outside groups and Gill’s campaign targeted him with negative ads and phone calls.

The smallest part of the district is in Passaic County, where the Democratic organization has essentially decided to set up shop, offering support to both parties. Tahesha Waywho had been lieutenant governor under the former governor. Phil MurphyAnd John Bartletta Passaic County commissioner. That joint endorsement might not help much either, but Way also benefits from a flood of outside spending, including from the Democratic Lieutenant Governors Association, which has spent well over $1 million on television ads for her. Large-scale outside spending against Malinowski and for Way has added uncertainty to the race.

The wild card in the race is Analilia Mejíaa progressive organizer who was the political director of Bernie Sanders“2020 presidential campaign. It has the support of Sanders and Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. Mejia is positioning herself as an outsider, and her left-leaning politics could have considerable resonance with the Trump-era Democratic base.


After Republicans push Clintons to testify about Epstein, Democrats warn they’ll call Trump

By Scott Wong, Melanie Zanona, Sahil Kapur and Ryan Nobles

Faced with the threat of being tried for contempt of Congress, Bill And Hillary Clinton agreed to testify before the House Oversight Committee about convicted sex offender Jeffrey Epstein.

Democrats now say Republicans have set a new precedent for Congress’s ability to subpoena and put former presidents, first ladies and their family members on trial under threat of criminal charges if they refuse – a precedent they warn the GOP and the president will watch over. James ComerR-Ky., will soon regret.

“We are absolutely going to ask Donald Trump to testify under oath” when the Democrats regain power, said the California representative. Ted Lieumember of the Democratic leadership, told NBC News.

representative Maxwell FrostD-Fla., a younger progressive who sits on the oversight panel, said Democrats would “100%” benefit from the new precedent set by Republicans.

“This sets a precedent, and we will follow it. … Donald Trump, all his children. Everyone,” Frost said.

representative Marc PocanD-Wis., agreed with his colleagues: “This will please Donald Trump in the short term, but in the long term, in a year, we will have subpoena power.” »

He warned: “What goes around comes around. »

The context: The House was expected to move forward this week with a vote to convict the Clintons of contempt of Congress after they refused to comply with a subpoena for their testimony in the panel’s investigation into Epstein. The vote was expected to be bipartisan, with some Democrats saying they would vote alongside Republicans.

Seeing what was happening, the Clintons agreed to testify before the committee. Comer said the Clintons will appear before his committee on Feb. 26 and 27 “for transcribed and videotaped depositions,” although the Clintons’ attorney said the former first couple would prefer to appear in public. The two parties are engaged in a confrontation over the format of the interview.

Read more →


🗞️ Other news of the day

  • ☑️ Short-term shutdown: Trump signed into law a massive funding plan to end the government shutdown that began Saturday after the House passed it earlier in the day. Read more →
  • 🗳️Voting watch: Senate Majority Leader John ThuneRS.D., said he was “not in favor” of federalizing elections a day after Trump said in a podcast that Republicans “should nationalize the vote.” Read more →
  • 🔎Voting watch, continued: Tulsi Gabbard defended her presence during an FBI raid at an election center in Fulton County, Ga., that raised questions about her involvement as director of national intelligence. Read more →
  • 🗺️ Results of redistricting: The Maryland House has passed legislation to redraw the state’s congressional map, sending it to the state Senate, where its future is uncertain. Read more →
  • 🔴 Split right: American lawyer Jeanine Pirrothe top federal prosecutor in the District of Columbia, was criticized by conservatives after she said anyone who brought a gun into the nation’s capital would face prison time. Read more →
  • ⚡Watch 2028: Governor of Pennsylvania. Josh Shapiro has unveiled a set of national guidelines to address the explosive growth of data centers. Read more →
  • 🇨🇴 At the White House: Trump received the Colombian president Gustavo Petro in the first meeting between two leaders who have feuded on and off over the past year. Read more →
  • ⚖️ In the courts: A federal judge has indefinitely postponed the end of protected immigration status for hundreds of thousands of Haitians in the United States. Read more →

That’s all that’s coming from the politburo for now. Today’s newsletter was compiled by Adam Wollner and Owen Auston-Babcock.

If you have any comments (like or dislike), please email us at politicsnewsletter@nbcuni.com

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