Democrats have flipped 28 seats since Trump’s win – Republicans have not flipped any

The president warned Republicans that losing the midterm elections would be a “big problem” and pushed for legislation that would severely restrict voters’ access to the polls.

New Hampshire Democrat Bobbi Boudman’s victory Tuesday in a district previously won by Donald Trump marked the 28th such electoral upset for Republicans since he took office, an increasingly realistic presage of a midterm season that will end with Trump losing control of Congress.

Boudman clinched the state legislative seat this week after voters supported Trump-backed Republican candidates in 2020 and 2024, the latter race Boudman lost by more than 13 points, according to Marissa Hebert, a spokeswoman for the New Hampshire Democratic Party. Yet as Democrats across the United States continue to flip districts in their favor — and despite Trump’s desperate demands for Republicans to propose legislation to limit Americans’ ability to vote — the Republican Party has not flipped a single one.

“Tuesdays are becoming a headache for state Republicans across the country as they suffer one resounding defeat after another,” Democratic Legislative Campaign Committee Chairwoman Heather Williams said in a statement. “These victories are not a flash in the pan: Together, they tell an undeniable story of Democratic momentum as voters reject Republicans and blame them for soaring costs.”

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Low- and middle-income Americans have felt the brunt of the affordability crisis on their regular purchases, and the administration’s handling of its immigration enforcement program has alienated many people who might otherwise have been encouraged to vote for Republicans in the primaries.

The deeply unpopular war in Iran, for which administration officials have yet to offer a clear goal, cause or expected end date, is hurting the fortunes of Trump-aligned Republicans. But even before his attacks with Israel on Iran, Trump faced an uphill battle heading into the 2026 election.

Just a few seats shy of losing their majority, top Republicans are eager to emphasize the party’s work to cut costs, which is not easy to achieve with just a few votes to spare. Trump, meanwhile, often focuses elsewhere, the Associated Press reported.

The war disrupted the party’s messaging on affordability, with Republican Party leaders frequently facing questions about rising gasoline prices, which House Speaker Mike Johnson called a “temporary blip.”

Meanwhile, even after the Supreme Court ruled that many of Trump’s sweeping tariffs were illegal, the remaining tariffs will still cost the average American household $400 a year, according to a study by the Tax Foundation.

And while that figure is lower than in 2025, when the president’s tariffs that served as the backbone of his economic policy agenda during his second term were implemented without limit, it nonetheless defies claims by Trump and Republicans as a whole that global tariffs have somehow saved Americans money.

Those claims have failed to resonate with most Americans, as Trump’s overall approval rating has fallen to historic lows in recent months, according to a polling consensus.

Rather than remove costly tariffs or introduce an affordable health care proposal, Trump recently insisted he had the answer to Republicans worried about losing their majority in Congress: rely on an already strict national voter ID law to ban mail-in ballots and restrict transgender rights.

“This will guarantee the midterm elections,” he told Republicans gathered in the ballroom of his golf course just outside Miami on Monday. “If you don’t understand, big problem.”

Less than 24 hours later, House Republican leaders outlined their priorities. And the bill passed, which Trump renamed the SAVE Act to the SAVE America Act, was not at the top of the list.

In an effort to gain leverage over lawmakers, including some Republicans, Trump said he would not sign further legislation until the bill was passed. That raises the prospect of a congressional shutdown just as lawmakers are asking voters to send them back to Washington.

The voting bill Trump is proposing is rooted in his insistence that he won the 2020 presidential election, claims rejected by dozens of courts and by his own attorney general at the time. Critics have called the effort an attempt at voter suppression rooted in a long-disproven conspiracy of massive voter fraud across the United States.

The Trump administration’s swinging rebukes and vague assertions that voter fraud investigations are important to protecting the integrity of elections come as The New York Times editorial board, reinforcing the concerns of major civil rights organizations and legal watchdogs, warned its readers that “the sanctity of the 2026 election is indeed under threat.” And the reason is Mr. Trump.”

“He has repeatedly demonstrated his willingness to interfere in elections to benefit himself and his party. To do so, he broke the law and broke long-standing bipartisan traditions. Since he entered politics a decade ago, he has suggested that election results would only be fair if his side won,” the Times editorial board wrote.

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