2025 John Deere Classic picks, odds, field: Surprising predictions from golf model that’s nailed 15 majors
There have been nine first-time winners on the PGA Tour this season, including at last week’s Rocket Classic when Aldrich Potgieter became the second PGA Tour rookie to win in 2025. Potgieter will be part of the 2025 John Deere Classic field, which gets underway from TPC Deere Run on Thursday, July 3. Six former champions of the John Deere Classic are in this week’s field, including defending champion Davis Thompson. With a victory this week, Thompson will be the first repeat winner since Steve Stricker won three straight from 2009-11. The 2025 John Deere Classic first-round tee times begin on Thursday at 7:45 a.m. ET.
According to the latest 2025 John Deere Classic odds, Thompson is 35-1 to repeat, while Potgieter is 40-1 to finish on top of the leaderboard. Ben Griffin is the 16-1 favorite on the PGA odds board, followed by Jason Day (22-1), Denny McCarthy (28-1) and Si Woo Kim (30-1). Rickie Fowler, a six-time PGA Tour champion, has three top-20 finishes in the last six weeks and is priced at +200 to crack the top 20 at TPC Deere Run. Before locking in your 2025 John Deere Classic picks, be sure to see the golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
SportsLine’s proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June 2020. In fact, the model is up over $8,500 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.
This same model has also nailed a whopping 15 majors entering the weekend, including the 2025 Masters – its fourth Masters in a row – and the 2025 PGA Championship. Anyone who has followed its sports betting picks could have seen massive returns on betting sites. New users have the opportunity to take advantage of the latest FanDuel promo code, DraftKings promo code and Fanatics Sportsbook promo code.
Now that the 2025 John Deere Classic field is locked in, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.
2025 John Deere Classic predictions
One major surprise the model is calling for at the 2025 John Deere Classic: Jason Day, a 13-time PGA Tour winner and one of the top favorites at 22-1, stumbles this week and doesn’t even crack the top five. Day has enjoyed a resurgence this season and is coming off an impressive T-4 finish at the Travelers Championship.
However, Day hasn’t won a PGA Tour event since the 2023 AT&T Byron Nelson and finished T-23 at the John Deere Classic in 2024. Day has also struggled off the tee this season, ranking 91st in strokes gained: off the tee (0.075), 101st in driving accuracy (58.23%) and 157th in total driving (232). He’s not a strong pick to win it all, and there are far better values in the 2025 John Deere Classic field. See who else to fade here.
Another surprise: Chris Gotterup, a 40-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. He has a much better chance to win it all than his odds imply, so he’s a target for anyone looking for a huge payday.
In order to score well at TPC Deere Run, players will need to be effective off the tee, and few do it better than Gotterup. The 25-year-old enters this week’s event ranked seventh in driving distance (315.2) and 12th in strokes gained: off the tee (0.492). He’s also been effective with an iron in his hands, ranking seventh in greens in regulation percentage (70.43%). Those impressive stats, plus his long odds, make him a strong value pick for your 2025 John Deere Classic bets. See who else to pick here. Bettors looking to take advantage of a bet365 bonus code can get Gotterup to finish inside the top 10 at +320 odds.
How to make 2025 John Deere Classic picks
The model is also targeting four other golfers with odds of 35-1 or longer who will make a strong run at the title. Anyone who backs these longshots could hit it big. You can only see the model’s picks here.
Who will win the 2025 John Deere Classic, and which longshots will stun the golfing world? Check out the 2025 John Deere Classic odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected leaderboard, all from the model that’s nailed 15 golf majors, including the last four Masters.
2025 John Deere Classic odds, favorites
Get full 2025 John Deere Classic picks, best bets, and predictions here.
(odds subject to change)
Ben Griffin +1600
Jason Day +2200
Denny McCarthy +2800
Si Woo Kim +3000
J.T. Poston +3300
Sungjae Im +3500
Luke Clanton +3500
Davis Thompson +3500
Michael Thorbjornsen +3500
Jake Knapp +3500
Chris Kirk +3500
Aldrich Potgieter +4000
Sam Stevens +4000
Kevin Yu +4000
Thorbjørn Olesen +4000
Pierceson Coody +4000
Chris Gotterup +4000
Bud Cauley +4000
Lucas Glover +4500
Ryan Gerard +4500
Alex Smalley +4500
Michael Kim +4500
Keith Mitchell +5000
Mark Hubbard +5000
Kurt Kitayama +5500
Rickie Fowler +5500
Nico Echavarria +6000
Stephan Jaeger +6000
Andrew Putnam +6500
Taylor Moore +7000
Victor Perez +7000
Kevin Roy +7000
Vince Whaley +7000
Jacob Bridgeman +7000
Thriston Lawrence +7000
Emiliano Grillo +7000
Ryo Hisatsune +7500
Christiaan Bezuidenhout +7500
Tom Kim +7500
Jesper Svensson +7500
Lee Hodges +8000
Cameron Champ +8000
Matt McCarty +8000
Patrick Rodgers +8000
Rico Hoey +8000
Eric Cole +8000
Seamus Power +9000
Isaiah Salinda +10000
Doug Ghim +11000
Jackson Suber +11000
Max McGreevy +11000
Chandler Phillips +11000
Austin Eckroat +11000
Sam Ryder +11000
Sami Valimaki +11000
Max Homa +11000
Ricky Castillo +11000
Quade Cummins +12000
Joseph Bramlett +12000
Zach Johnson +12000
Beau Hossler +12000
Patrick Fishburn +12000
Steven Fisk +12000
Matt Kuchar +12000
Davis Riley +12000
Henrik Norlander +12000
Garrick Higgo +15000
Joe Highsmith +15000
Trey Mullinax +15000
Chan Kim +15000
