Mass deportations may backfire big time in Florida

At the beginning of December, I warned The fact that the mass deportation plans of Donald Trump can turn against the Republicans. The basic problem? Workforce. It takes a lot of resources to collect undocumented immigrants – and this is only possible in the red states, where republican governors are likely to lend their own forces of application of the law to help us immigration and the application of customs. In sanctuary cities, federal agents are mainly alone.

This dynamic has serious implications for the 2030 Census and replenishment. Undocumented immigrants are counted in the census. If the deportations and migration focused on safe states reduce the population in republican bastions such as Florida and Texas, these states could earn fewer seats at home than expected. Meanwhile, blue states like California, Illinois and New York – on the right track to lose the performance – could see these softened losses.

It was theory at the time. Now we see proof that it can be played.

A new room In The Times of London, a revealing anecdote: a Miami construction director witnessed a raid where 15 to 20 federal and police officers stormed his site … and arrested only two undocumented workers. “It was just an obscurely scandalous demonstration of force, above, it just seemed too much,” said the manager.

And it is with local police support. That’s exactly why Trump’s repression struggles in sanctuary cities—No local cooperation, as well as the mutual aid networks that sound the alarm when the ice is nearby.

In Miami, the consequences accumulate quickly.

First of all, it stifles the flourish construction industry of Florida. “In January, associated manufacturers and entrepreneurs – a commercial organization – showed the construction industry to attract 439,000 workers this year to meet demand,” reported Times.

Without them? The costs of labor, housing and arrow construction.

But instead of recruiting more workers, Florida bleeds them. And another Trump action aggravates things. “The legal workforce should shrink more after the administration has succeeded in removing temporary protection status (TPS), a type of immigration status, 472,000 venezuelans”, the ” Times Notes. “Hundreds of thousands of other people in other nationalities are also likely to lose their time.”

Republicans often claim that the reduction of the immigrant population will lower housing prices. The worst delinquents include right -wing Cuban retirees, such as Jose Martinez, born in Havana, who came during Mariel’s boat matau. “Sorry but it’s true, we don’t know who these people are,” he told Times. “We came here in the right direction, we came legally. These people are different. Some of them are criminals. ”

Apparently, “the right way” meant obtaining a favoritism of the Cold War that the Cubans appreciated at the expense of all the other Latin groups. And as any honest observer will tell you, that Politics were horseshit. The MAUTEAU DE BOATES MarieL? He understood Tens of thousands of criminals Because Fidel Castro emptied his prisons in Florida.

Here is the problem for the Republicans: Florida’s economy cannot maintain its torrid growth without new housing – and the development of new housing requires work. Instead, labor shortages – and Trump prices – will increase costs, dissuading people from moving to it. In addition, the deportations themselves will further alleviate the population growth of the State, an impact on the enumeration of the census and the State projected collection of four electoral votes and seats at home.

And as I predicted, immigrants flee Florida. This same construction director? After the raid, another of its crew members – one with a legal work status – on the left for Georgia, where the application of immigration is lighter.

Los Angeles, despite Trump’s best efforts to repress, could now become a magnet for immigrants. With tens of thousands of houses needing reconstruction, and no local working population to do so quickly, immigrant workers will go where they can win and live in peace.

Trump has triggered policies that blur economic and demographic trends. The repercussions could be huge – and it is unlikely that it will benefit the people who applauded it.

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