2026 Masters odds, picks: Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy predictions by model that nailed 4 straight winners
If recent form is important when making choices for the 2026 Masters, then three names should stand out above the rest. Matt Fitzpatrick has a win and a second place in his last two starts, while Cameron Young has a win and a third place in his last two tournaments. Then there’s Bryson DeChambeau, who has won his last two events on LIV Golf as all three golfers build momentum into the 2026 Masters. This year’s tournament is the 90th edition and begins Thursday at Augusta National.
None of the three have ever finished better than fifth at the Masters, but they still find their names at the top of the PGA odds chart. Only Scottie Scheffler (+550) is a bigger favorite than DeChambeau (+1000), with Fitzpatrick and Young both at +2200. How much should you prioritize recent results when placing bets on the Masters 2026? Before locking in any 2026 Masters picks, be sure to check out the golf predictions and projected rankings from SportsLine’s proven computer model.
Property of SportsLine golf betting The model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, simulates every PGA Tour event 10,000 times. That same model also won 16 majors over the weekend, including the 2025 Masters – its fourth Masters in a row – as well as last year’s PGA Championship and Open Championship.
Now that the 2026 Masters field is locked in, the model has simulated the tournament 10,000 times and the results have been surprising. Head over to SportsLine now to see the projected rankings.
Masters 2026 predictions for Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy and Jon Rahm
A Model Pick for the 2026 Masters: Rahm (+1000), the 2023 Masters champion and one of this year’s favorites, has another good run in the green jacket, but ultimately falls short. Rahm historically plays some of his best golf at Augusta, finishing in the top 10 five times since 2018. He already has one professional victory this season and hasn’t finished worse than fifth this year anyway, so the model expects him to compete at Augusta, giving him a 10.5% chance of winning it all and a 41.3% chance of finishing in the top 5.
The model also locked in its projection for Scheffler (+550), a two-time Masters winner and this year’s favorite. Scheffler is making his seventh start at Augusta National after winning the green jacket in 2022 and 2024. He has never finished outside the top 20 in the first major of the year, and he had top-10 performances in 17 of his 20 starts on the PGA Tour last year.
Scheffler opened the season with a victory at the American Express before posting top-five finishes at the WM Phoenix Open and the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am. However, he has been outside the top 20 in his last two events, and he has not competed since mid-March due to the birth of his second child. This is the first time in his career that he hasn’t made any starts on the PGA Tour between the Players and Masters, so rust could be an issue this week.
The model also looked at McIlroy’s odds (+1,300) of becoming the fourth golfer to win back-to-back green jackets. After securing the career Grand Slam with last year’s victory, a fall from that peak was almost inevitable. That’s what happened to the Irishman as McIlroy hasn’t won any of his 14 PGA Tour starts since.
However, McIlroy’s stats indicate that he is still elite and can win every time he steps on a course. He is fourth in strokes gained: total and leads the round in SG: tee-to-green and SG: off-the-tee. Since Tiger Woods became the last repeat Masters champion (2001-02), only three defending champions have finished better than 10th in their repeat, so McIlroy will be fighting history as well as Augusta. See the full Masters projections from the model here.
How to make your Masters 2026 choices
The model also targets two longshots of +4000 or higher, including one hovering around +8000, who could have a great run at Augusta this year. You can only see the model choices here.
Who will win the 2026 Masters, which massive long shots will stun the golf world, and where will Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy end up? Check out the 2026 Masters odds below, then visit SportsLine to see the projected rankings, all from the model that has won 16 golf majors, including three in 2025, and four straight Masters.
Masters 2026 odds, favorites
Get the full Masters 2026 picks, best bets and predictions here.
Odds via FanDuel (subject to change)
Scottie Scheffler +550
Bryson DeChambeau +1000
Jon Rahm +1000
Rory McIlroy +1300
Alex Schauffele +1500
Ludvig Aberg +1700
Matt Fitzpatrick +2200
Cameron Young +2200
Tommy Fleetwood +2200
Hideki Matsuyama +2700
Robert MacIntyre +2700
Justin Rose +3000
Min Woo Lee +3000
Patrick Reed +3500
Collin Morikawa +3500
Si Woo Kim +4500
Jordan Spieth +4500
Brooks Koepka +4500
Chris Gotterup +5500
Russell Henley +5500
Nicolai Højgaard +5500
Viktor Hovland +5500
Akshay Bhatia +6500
Maverick McNealy +6500
Jake Knapp +7000
Shane Lowry +7000
Patrick Cantlay +7000
Justin Thomas +7000
Adam Scott +7500
Jason Day +7500
Sepp Straka +8000
Tyrrell Hatton +8000
Corey Conners +8000
JJ Spain +8000
Jacob Bridgeman +8000
Sam Burns +10,000
Harris English +10000
Rasmus Højgaard +10000
Cameron Smith +10000
Marco Penge +10000
Sungjae I am +12500
Gary Woodland +12500
Kurt Kitayama +15000
Daniel Berger +17500
Ben Griffin +17500
Alex Noren +17500
Ryan Gérard +17500
Sam Stevens +20000
Keegan Bradley +20000
Harry Room +20000
Aldrich Potgieter +20000
Kristoffer Reitan +22500
Max Homa +22500
Ryan Fox +25000
Casey Jarvis +25000
Aaron Rai +25,000
Wyndham Clark +25000
Brian Harman +25000
Sergio Garcia +30000
Dustin Johnson +30000
Nicolas Echavarria +30000
Carlos Ortiz +30000
Michael Kim +30000
Max Greyserman +40,000
Nick Taylor +40000
Haotong Li +40000
Matt McCarty +40000
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen +40000
André Novak +40000
Tom McKibbin +40000
Sami Valimaki +50000
Michael Brennan +50000
John Keefer +50000
Bubba Watson +75000
Charl Schwartzel +75000
Zach Johnson +75000
Davis Riley +100000
Angel Cabrera +100000
Mason Howell +100000
Fifa Laopakdee +100000
Ethan Fang +100,000
Brian Campbell +100000
Vijay Singh +100000
José María Olazabal +100000
Brandon Holtz +100000
Naoyuki Kataoka +100,000
Danny Willett +100000
Jackson Herrington +100000
Fred Couples +100000
Mateo Pulcini +100000
Mike Weir +100000
