2026 Masters odds, picks: Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy predictions by model that nailed 4 straight winners
The first major of the year will be decided when the PGA Tour heads to Augusta National Golf Club for the 2026 Masters. The tournament begins Thursday, April 9 with a star-studded field where Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy, Bryson DeChambeau and Jon Rahm are among the big names in pursuit of the coveted green jacket. McIlroy enters the 2026 Masters as the defending champion and will attempt to become the first golfer to successfully defend his Masters title since Tiger Woods (2001-02).
Scheffler, the world’s No. 1 player, is listed as the +500 betting favorite, according to the latest Masters 2026 odds. He is followed by Rahm (+1000), DeChambeau (+1000) and McIlroy (+1300) on the PGA odds chart. Should your picks for the 2026 Masters include backing one of the favorites, or should you target a long shot like Brooks Koepka (+4000) and Jordan Spieth (+4500)? Before locking in any 2026 Masters picks, be sure to check out the golf predictions and projected rankings from SportsLine’s proven computer model.
SportsLine’s proprietary model, built by DFS professional Mike McClure, simulates every PGA Tour event 10,000 times. That same model also won 16 majors over the weekend, including the 2025 Masters – its fourth Masters in a row – as well as last year’s PGA Championship and Open Championship.
Now that the 2026 Masters field is locked in, the model has simulated the tournament 10,000 times and the results have been surprising. Head over to SportsLine now to see the projected rankings.
Masters 2026 predictions for Scottie Scheffler, Rory McIlroy and Jon Rahm
A Model Pick for the 2026 Masters: Rahm (+1000), the 2023 Masters champion and one of this year’s favorites, has another good run in the green jacket, but ultimately falls short. Rahm historically plays some of his best golf at Augusta, finishing in the top 10 five times since 2018. He already has one professional victory this season and hasn’t finished worse than fifth this year anyway, so the model expects him to compete at Augusta, giving him a 10.5% chance of winning it all and a 41.3% chance of finishing in the top 5.
The model also locked in its projection for Scheffler (+500), the odds-betting favorite and two-time Masters champion. Scheffler continually finds himself in contention at Augusta National, recording two wins, a fourth place and a 10th place over the past four years.
He was able to achieve these impressive results thanks to his elite ball striking ability. The world’s No. 1 player currently ranks ninth on the greens in regulation percentage (71.30%) and 11th in strokes gained: off the tee (0.623). He has also been extremely effective with a putter in his hands this season, entering the 2026 Masters ranked second in putting average (1.662) and ninth in putts per round (27.67).
The model also looked at McIlroy’s odds (+1,300) of becoming the fourth golfer to win back-to-back green jackets. McIlroy established himself as one of golf’s greatest players with his victory at the Masters in 2025. He became only the sixth man to win the career Grand Slam after beating Justin Rose in a playoff last year.
McIlroy played in four PGA Tour tournaments in 2026, finishing T-14 or worse in three of them. However, the 36-year-old still has the means to become the first repeat champion at the Masters since Tiger Woods in 2001-02. McIlroy enters the 2026 Masters ranked first in strokes gained: off the tee (0.799), 10th in strokes gained: approaching the green (0.748) and 11th in greens in regulation percentage (71.03%). He has struggled on the green this season, ranking 102nd in putts per round (28.86) and 136th in one-putt percentage (38.49%). See the full Masters projections from the model here.
How to make your Masters 2026 choices
The model also targets two longshots of +4000 or higher, including one hovering around +8000, who could have a great run at Augusta this year. You can only see the model choices here.
Who will win the 2026 Masters, which massive long shots will stun the golf world, and where will Scottie Scheffler and Rory McIlroy end up? Check out the 2026 Masters odds below, then visit SportsLine to see the projected rankings, all from the model that has won 16 golf majors, including three in 2025, and four straight Masters.
Masters 2026 odds, favorites
Get the full Masters 2026 picks, best bets and predictions here.
Odds via FanDuel (subject to change)
Scottie Scheffler +500
Bryson DeChambeau +1000
Jon Rahm +1000
Rory McIlroy +1300
Alex Schauffele +1500
Matt Fitzpatrick +1800
Ludvig Aberg +1800
Cameron Young +2200
Tommy Fleetwood +2200
Hideki Matsuyama +2700
Justin Rose +2700
Robert MacIntyre +3000
Min Woo Lee +3300
Collin Morikawa +3500
Patrick Reed +4000
Brooks Koepka +4000
Chris Gotterup +4500
Russell Henley +4500
Si Woo Kim +4500
Jordan Spieth +4500
Viktor Hovland +5000
Shane Lowry +6000
Nicolai Højgaard +6000
Jake Knapp +6500
Justin Thomas +6500
Akshay Bhatia +6500
Maverick McNealy +6500
Adam Scott +7000
JJ Spain +7000
Patrick Cantlay +7000
Sepp Straka +8000
Tyrrell Hatton +8000
Jacob Bridgeman +8000
Jason Day +8000
Sungjae I am +10000
Sam Burns +10,000
Harris English +10000
Corey Conners +10,000
Cameron Smith +10000
Marco Penge +10000
Daniel Berger +12500
Kurt Kitayama +12500
Gary Woodland +12500
Rasmus Højgaard +15000
Ben Griffin +15000
Keegan Bradley +15000
Aaron Rai +15,000
Alex Noren +15000
Ryan Gérard +15000
Sam Stevens +17500
Harry Room +17500
Wyndham Clark +17500
Aldrich Potgieter +17500
Brian Harman +17500
Max Homa +17500
Ryan Fox +22500
Casey Jarvis +22500
Kristoffer Reitan +22500
Nick Taylor +25000
Dustin Johnson +25000
Nicolas Echavarria +25000
Carlos Ortiz +25000
Michael Kim +25000
Max Greyserman +35,000
Sergio Garcia +35000
Haotong Li +35000
Matt McCarty +35000
André Novak +35000
Tom McKibbin +35000
Sami Valimaki +50000
Michael Brennan +50000
Bubba Watson +50000
John Keefer +50000
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen +50000
Charl Schwartzel +50000
Zach Johnson +50000
Davis Riley +75000
Angel Cabrera +100000
Mason Howell +100000
Fifa Laopakdee +100000
Ethan Fang +100,000
Brian Campbell +100000
Vijay Singh +100000
José María Olazabal +100000
Brandon Holtz +100000
Naoyuki Kataoka +100,000
Danny Willett +100000
Jackson Herrington +100000
Fred Couples +100000
Mateo Pulcini +100000
Mike Weir +100000
