Trump Sec. Gets Humiliating Fact-Check About Closing Forest Service

Another race that went from uncertainty to victory blue is the Senate battle in North Carolina, where Republican National Committee Chairman Michael Whatley faces Roy Cooper, a Democrat and former governor, for the vacant seat of Thom Tillis. A recent survey by Quantus Insights saw Cooper take a five-point lead over his opponent, continuing a positive trend since the start of the year.

In Ohio, former Sen. Sherrod Brown is expected to face Sen. Jon Husted, nominated to replace Vice President JD Vance. The Senate Leadership Fund, the main super PAC for Republicans in the upper house, is would have planning to spend a whopping $79 million to help Husted retain his seat. Yet CPR moved this race from “Lean Republican” to the “Toss Up” column.

CPR’s latest leftward ranking shift was in the Nebraska race, where independent Dan Osborn is back once again to face off in a more and more chaotic primary election. In 2024, Osborn came within seven points of defeating Republican Sen. Deb Fischer, a remarkable feat for a progressive independent with no endorsement in a solidly pro-Trump state. This time, he will challenge Republican Senator Pete Ricketts. This race went from “Solid Republican” to “Likely Republican.”